443 matches analysed today 120 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 14:44 WATTelegram18+
Wales FAW Championship Fri 13 Nov 2026 Full time
2–3
Half-time 1–1
64%Swansea University22%Draw14%Treowen Stars

Swansea University vs Treowen Stars prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Over 1.5 goals

Swansea University (2.7) plus Treowen Stars (1.3) puts 4.0 goals on the board. The line lands in 91% of the model's runs. Mind Score 91.

91Mind Score Odds– Score2–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Swansea University1.4464% X · Draw4.4022% 2 · Treowen Stars4.8014%

Double chance

1X1.1486% 121.1878% X22.5036%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.1091% · fair Under 1.510.569% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.2574% Under 2.53.2826%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.51.7155% Under 3.51.9845%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.5066% NG · No2.4034%

Half-time result

HT 11.8050% HT X2.6231% HT 25.0018%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The model makes Swansea University strong home favourites (64%). Table: Swansea University 3rd (24 pts), Treowen Stars 5th (20 pts).

Recent form

The last six for Swansea University read W L D W D W (three wins). Most recent: v Cardiff Draconians, 2–0 (won). Output is high: 2.7 goals a game across the sample. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Treowen Stars bring a D W L L L D line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Newport City, 2–2 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 2.3 a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Swansea University 2.7, Treowen Stars 1.3 – 4.0 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 74%, both to score at 66%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 91. Likeliest score: Swansea University 2–1 Treowen Stars. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Swansea University

last 6
  • Wv Cardiff Draconians2–07 Nov
  • L@ Ynyshir Albions2–431 Oct
  • D@ Afan Lido5–59 Oct
  • Wv Caerphilly Athletic3–13 Oct
  • D@ Aberystwyth Town0–025 Sep
  • Wv Pontardawe Town4–011 Sep
2.7scored / game1.7conceded50%GG67%over 2.5

Treowen Stars

last 6
  • D@ Newport City2–26 Nov
  • W@ Baglan Dragons1–030 Oct
  • Lv Trethomas Bluebirds1–310 Oct
  • Lv Ynyshir Albions1–23 Oct
  • L@ Pontardawe Town1–626 Sep
  • Dv Llantwit Major1–112 Sep
1.2scored / game2.3conceded83%GG67%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

FAW Championship table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pontypridd Town13832+1327
2Aberystwyth Town11812+1825
3Swansea University12732+1824
4Caerau (Ely)13715+122
5Treowen Stars13625020
6Baglan Dragons13625020
7Ynyshir Albions11542+719
8Afan Lido14536-218
9Trethomas Bluebirds13454+317
10Carmarthen Town13436-615
11Pontardawe Town11425-114
12Caerphilly Athletic13427-714
13Newport City11344+413
14Cardiff Draconians11335-512
15Llantwit Major12336-1212
16llanelli AFC140311-313

More FAW Championship predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Swansea University vs Treowen Stars?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 91.

Who is favourite, Swansea University or Treowen Stars?

The model gives Swansea University 64%, the draw 22% and Treowen Stars 14%.

What is the likeliest score in Swansea University vs Treowen Stars?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Swansea University 2–1 Treowen Stars.

How many goals are expected in Swansea University vs Treowen Stars?

Around 4.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 74% and both teams to score 66%.

When does Swansea University vs Treowen Stars kick off?

Friday 13 November 2026, 20:30 WAT – FAW Championship.