Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Rodina Moskva II prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Only 2.8 goals projected – a low-event game. Probability 68%. Price check: 1.37 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Alaniya Vladikavkaz 53%, Rodina Moskva II 24%, draw 24%. Table: Alaniya Vladikavkaz 4th (23 pts), Rodina Moskva II 2nd (31 pts).
Recent form
Alaniya Vladikavkaz bring a D L W D W W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: v Novosibirsk, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.2 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Rodina Moskva II bring a L D L D W W line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at Mashuk-KMV, 0–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.7 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Jul 2026): Rodina Moskva II 2–1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1.6, Rodina Moskva II 1.1 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 53%, BTTS 60%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 68, bookmaker price around 1.37 against a fair 1.47. Likeliest score: Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1–0 Rodina Moskva II. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
last 6- Dv Novosibirsk0–08 Nov
- L@ Dinamo Vladivostok0–331 Oct
- Wv Kaluga2–124 Oct
- Dv Mashuk-KMV3–318 Oct
- W@ Dinamo Kirov1–010 Oct
- Wv FK Sokol Saratov2–04 Oct
Rodina Moskva II
last 6- L@ Mashuk-KMV0–39 Nov
- Dv Dinamo Kirov1–131 Oct
- L@ FK Sokol Saratov0–324 Oct
- Dv Volgar Astrakhan1–118 Oct
- W@ Dinamo Bryansk3–211 Oct
- Wv Kaluga3–04 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 19 Jul 2026Rodina Moskva II2–1Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Second League A Fall Season Gold table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dinamo Kirov | 17 | +12 | 34 |
| 2 |  Rodina Moskva II | 17 | +8 | 31 |
| 3 |  Dinamo Vladivostok | 17 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 17 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |  Novosibirsk | 17 | -2 | 22 |
| 6 |  Mashuk-KMV | 17 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |  FK Sokol Saratov | 17 | -6 | 19 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Bryansk | 17 | -10 | 19 |
| 9 |  Volgar Astrakhan | 17 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Kaluga | 17 | -9 | 11 |
More Second League A Fall Season Gold predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Rodina Moskva II?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 68, priced around 1.37 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Alaniya Vladikavkaz or Rodina Moskva II?
The model gives Alaniya Vladikavkaz 53%, the draw 24% and Rodina Moskva II 24%.
What is the likeliest score in Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Rodina Moskva II?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1–0 Rodina Moskva II.
How many goals are expected in Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Rodina Moskva II?
Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 53% and both teams to score 60%.
When does Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Rodina Moskva II kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 11:00 WAT, at Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak – Second League A Fall Season Gold.