Forest Green vs Hartlepool prediction: Forest Green to win
The model lands a Forest Green win in 62% of simulations. Forest Green were beaten last time (LDW); Hartlepool's form is mixed (DWLL, 1 W 1 D 2 L). At 1.65 the market and the model roughly agree.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Forest Green are clear favourites at 62% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Forest Green 16th (19 pts), Hartlepool 21st (16 pts).
Recent form
Forest Green bring a D D L D W W line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v Wealdstone, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 1.3 a game.
The last six for Hartlepool read L L L L L L (zero wins). Most recent: v Tamworth, 0–1 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.5 goals a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Forest Green 1.8, Hartlepool 0.8 – 2.6 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 48%, BTTS 57%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Forest Green to win – Mind Score 62, bookmaker price around 1.65 against a fair 1.61. Likeliest score: Forest Green 1–0 Hartlepool. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Forest Green
last 6- Dv Wealdstone1–129 Sep
- D@ Sutton Utd3–326 Sep
- Lv Boston United1–319 Sep
- D@ Carlisle1–115 Sep
- Wv Gateshead4–012 Sep
- W@ AFC Hornchurch1–05 Sep
Hartlepool
last 6- Lv Tamworth0–13 Oct
- Lv Harrogate Town0–129 Sep
- L@ Scunthorpe1–426 Sep
- Lv Worthing1–319 Sep
- L@ Altrincham1–216 Sep
- L@ Kidderminster Harriers0–211 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
National League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 17 | +27 | 45 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 17 | +15 | 35 |
| 3 |  Southend | 17 | +12 | 32 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 17 | +7 | 32 |
| 5 |  Yeovil Town | 17 | +15 | 29 |
| 6 |  Carlisle | 17 | +11 | 29 |
| 7 |  Worthing | 17 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Barrow | 16 | +10 | 28 |
| 9 |  Altrincham | 17 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 17 | +8 | 25 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 17 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 |  AFC Hornchurch | 17 | -7 | 24 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 17 | +1 | 22 |
| 14 |  Woking | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 15 |  Aldershot Town | 17 | -1 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Wealdstone | 17 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Eastleigh | 17 | -7 | 19 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 17 | -10 | 18 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 16 | -8 | 17 |
| 21 |  Hartlepool | 17 | -9 | 16 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 17 | -19 | 16 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 16 | -11 | 11 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 16 | -28 | 4 |
More National League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Forest Green vs Hartlepool?
The Mind pick is Forest Green to win with a Mind Score of 62, priced around 1.65 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Forest Green or Hartlepool?
The model gives Forest Green 62%, the draw 20% and Hartlepool 18%.
What is the likeliest score in Forest Green vs Hartlepool?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Forest Green 1–0 Hartlepool.
How many goals are expected in Forest Green vs Hartlepool?
Around 2.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 48% and both teams to score 57%.
When does Forest Green vs Hartlepool kick off?
Saturday 10 October 2026, 17:30 WAT, at The New Lawn – National League.