443 matches analysed today 119 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 14:52 WATTelegram18+
Chile Segunda División Sat 14 Nov 2026 Full time
0–0
Half-time 0–0
43%Provincial Osorno22%Draw35%Municipal Salamanca

Provincial Osorno vs Municipal Salamanca prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Over 1.5 goals

Provincial Osorno (1.2) plus Municipal Salamanca (1.0) puts 2.2 goals on the board. Mind Score 67. Municipal Salamanca's form is mixed (DLD, 0 W 2 D 1 L). The 1.31 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.

67Mind Score Odds1.31 Score2–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Provincial Osorno2.2143% X · Draw3.1222% 2 · Municipal Salamanca2.8635%

Double chance

1X1.3065% 121.2578% X21.5057%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3167% Under 1.52.9233%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.0541% Under 2.51.6659%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.7421% Under 3.51.1979%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.8151% NG · No1.8349%

Half-time result

HT 12.9029% HT X1.9947% HT 23.6224%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A modest home lean: Provincial Osorno 43%, Municipal Salamanca 35%, draw 22%. Table: Provincial Osorno 1st (24 pts), Municipal Salamanca 2nd (22 pts).

Recent form

Provincial Osorno bring a L W W L L L line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at Trasandino, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.5 a game.

The last six for Municipal Salamanca read L D D W L L (one win). Most recent: v Colchagua, 2–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.5 a game.

Head-to-head

Latest (Sep 2026): Municipal Salamanca 2–1 Provincial Osorno. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Provincial Osorno 1.2, Municipal Salamanca 1.0 – 2.2 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 41%, BTTS 51%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 67, bookmaker price around 1.31 against a fair 1.49. Likeliest score: Provincial Osorno 2–1 Municipal Salamanca. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Provincial Osorno

last 6
  • L@ Trasandino1–28 Nov
  • Wv Linares Unido1–024 Oct
  • W@ Concón National3–110 Oct
  • L@ Colchagua0–24 Oct
  • Lv Santiago City1–213 Sep
  • L@ Municipal Salamanca1–26 Sep
1.2scored / game1.5conceded67%GG67%over 2.5

Municipal Salamanca

last 6
  • Lv Colchagua2–38 Nov
  • D@ Concón National0–031 Oct
  • Dv Santiago City2–225 Oct
  • Wv Linares Unido2–04 Oct
  • L@ Santiago City0–126 Sep
  • L@ Trasandino0–312 Sep
1.0scored / game1.5conceded33%GG50%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 6 Sep 2026Municipal Salamanca2–1Provincial Osorno

Segunda División table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Provincial Osorno12660+1024
2Municipal Salamanca12570+622
3Colchagua12642+422
4Concón National12633+621
5Santiago City12552-120
6Linares Unido12615+419
7Trasandino12534+218
8General Velásquez12516-416
9Real San Joaquín12345-113
10Lota Schwager12345-213
11Colina12336+112
12Deportes Rengo12327-711
13Santiago Morning12246-510
14Provincial Ovalle12138-136

More Segunda División predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Provincial Osorno vs Municipal Salamanca?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 67, priced around 1.31 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Provincial Osorno or Municipal Salamanca?

The model gives Provincial Osorno 43%, the draw 22% and Municipal Salamanca 35%.

What is the likeliest score in Provincial Osorno vs Municipal Salamanca?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Provincial Osorno 2–1 Municipal Salamanca.

How many goals are expected in Provincial Osorno vs Municipal Salamanca?

Around 2.2 in total – over 2.5 rates 41% and both teams to score 51%.

When does Provincial Osorno vs Municipal Salamanca kick off?

Saturday 14 November 2026, 22:00 WAT – Segunda División.