Oita Trinita vs Tochigi City prediction: Under 3.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 2.8 goals in total. The line lands in 68% of the model's runs. Oita Trinita were beaten last time (LLWLD); Tochigi City's latest result was a win (WLLLL). The 1.38 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Oita Trinita edge it at home, 50% to 29%, with the draw on 21%. Table: Oita Trinita 11th (22 pts), Tochigi City 17th (15 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Oita Trinita read L W L D D W (two wins). Most recent: at Blaublitz Akita, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.0 a game.
Tochigi City bring a L L L L D D line into this one: zero wins from six. Most recent: v Omiya Ardija, 0–3 (lost). Just 0.8 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Oita Trinita 1.6, Tochigi City 1.2 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 53%, BTTS 62%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 68, bookmaker price around 1.38 against a fair 1.48. Likeliest score: Oita Trinita 1–0 Tochigi City. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Oita Trinita
last 6- L@ Blaublitz Akita1–27 Nov
- Wv Vanraure Hachinohe1–03 Nov
- L@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–231 Oct
- Dv Ventforet Kofu1–125 Oct
- D@ Jubilo Iwata0–021 Oct
- Wv Albirex Niigata5–117 Oct
Tochigi City
last 6- Lv Omiya Ardija0–38 Nov
- L@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–33 Nov
- Lv Iwaki1–331 Oct
- L@ Shonan Bellmare1–225 Oct
- Dv Fujieda MYFC2–221 Oct
- Dv Yokohama FC1–117 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
J2 League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omiya Ardija | 17 | +13 | 33 |
| 2 |  Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 17 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Albirex Niigata | 17 | -3 | 32 |
| 4 |  Kataller Toyama | 16 | +14 | 31 |
| 5 |  Yokohama FC | 17 | +13 | 31 |
| 6 |  Vegalta Sendai | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 7 |  Consadole Sapporo | 16 | +3 | 26 |
| 8 |  Shonan Bellmare | 17 | +3 | 26 |
| 9 |  Iwaki | 16 | +4 | 23 |
| 10 |  Jubilo Iwata | 16 | +2 | 23 |
| 11 |  Oita Trinita | 17 | 0 | 22 |
| 12 |  Blaublitz Akita | 16 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Sagan Tosu | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 14 |  Fujieda MYFC | 17 | -3 | 19 |
| 15 |  Montedio Yamagata | 17 | -3 | 19 |
| 16 |  Tokushima Vortis | 16 | -5 | 17 |
| 17 |  Tochigi City | 17 | -5 | 15 |
| 18 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 19 |  Imabari | 16 | -16 | 12 |
| 20 |  Ventforet Kofu | 17 | -23 | 12 |
More J2 League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Oita Trinita vs Tochigi City?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 68, priced around 1.38 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Oita Trinita or Tochigi City?
The model gives Oita Trinita 50%, the draw 21% and Tochigi City 29%.
What is the likeliest score in Oita Trinita vs Tochigi City?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Oita Trinita 1–0 Tochigi City.
How many goals are expected in Oita Trinita vs Tochigi City?
Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 53% and both teams to score 62%.
When does Oita Trinita vs Tochigi City kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 06:00 WAT, at Resonac Dome Oita – J2 League.