Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu prediction: Under 3.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 2.4 goals in total. Probability 75%. Consadole Sapporo are unbeaten across their last 4 (WWWW); Sagan Tosu arrive off a defeat (LWLLW). The 1.26 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A slight away lean – Sagan Tosu 45%, Consadole Sapporo 33%. Table: Consadole Sapporo 7th (26 pts), Sagan Tosu 13th (20 pts).
Recent form
Consadole Sapporo – sample of six: W W W W W W, with six wins. Most recent: at Vanraure Hachinohe, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 0.0 a game. 6 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Sagan Tosu – sample of six: L W L L W L, with two wins. Most recent: v Kataller Toyama, 1–2 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Consadole Sapporo 1.2, Sagan Tosu 1.1 – 2.4 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 45%, BTTS 56%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 75, bookmaker price around 1.26 against a fair 1.33. Likeliest score: Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Sagan Tosu. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Consadole Sapporo
last 6- W@ Vanraure Hachinohe1–08 Nov
- W@ Imabari4–03 Nov
- Wv Shonan Bellmare1–031 Oct
- W@ Kataller Toyama1–025 Oct
- W@ Montedio Yamagata2–021 Oct
- Wv Blaublitz Akita1–017 Oct
Sagan Tosu
last 6- Lv Kataller Toyama1–27 Nov
- W@ Shonan Bellmare1–03 Nov
- L@ Jubilo Iwata0–231 Oct
- Lv Kawasaki Frontale0–228 Oct
- Wv Vanraure Hachinohe2–025 Oct
- L@ Albirex Niigata1–221 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
J2 League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omiya Ardija | 17 | +13 | 33 |
| 2 |  Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 17 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Albirex Niigata | 17 | -3 | 32 |
| 4 |  Kataller Toyama | 16 | +14 | 31 |
| 5 |  Yokohama FC | 17 | +13 | 31 |
| 6 |  Vegalta Sendai | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 7 |  Consadole Sapporo | 16 | +3 | 26 |
| 8 |  Shonan Bellmare | 17 | +3 | 26 |
| 9 |  Iwaki | 16 | +4 | 23 |
| 10 |  Jubilo Iwata | 16 | +2 | 23 |
| 11 |  Oita Trinita | 17 | 0 | 22 |
| 12 |  Blaublitz Akita | 16 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Sagan Tosu | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 14 |  Fujieda MYFC | 17 | -3 | 19 |
| 15 |  Montedio Yamagata | 17 | -3 | 19 |
| 16 |  Tokushima Vortis | 16 | -5 | 17 |
| 17 |  Tochigi City | 17 | -5 | 15 |
| 18 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 19 |  Imabari | 16 | -16 | 12 |
| 20 |  Ventforet Kofu | 17 | -23 | 12 |
More J2 League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 75, priced around 1.26 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Consadole Sapporo or Sagan Tosu?
The model gives Consadole Sapporo 33%, the draw 22% and Sagan Tosu 45%.
What is the likeliest score in Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Sagan Tosu.
How many goals are expected in Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?
Around 2.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 45% and both teams to score 56%.
When does Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 05:00 WAT, at Sapporo Dome – J2 League.