421 matches analysed today 62 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 12:47 WATTelegram18+
Japan J2 League Sun 15 Nov 2026 · Toyama Stadium Full time
2–3
Half-time 0–2
59%Kataller Toyama25%Draw16%Tokushima Vortis

Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis prediction: Kataller Toyama to win

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Kataller Toyama to win

Projected goals favour Kataller Toyama: 1.7 against 0.8. Kataller Toyama's last 4 reads WWWL – 3 wins; Tokushima Vortis's recent sample is poor: LLL. At 1.76 the market and the model roughly agree.

59Mind Score Odds1.76 Score1–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Kataller Toyama1.7659% X · Draw3.5825% 2 · Tokushima Vortis3.7016%

Double chance

1X1.1884% 121.1975% X21.8241%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.1974% Under 1.53.7826%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.6950% Under 2.52.0150%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.6629% Under 3.51.3771%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.6355% NG · No2.0945%

Half-time result

HT 12.3042% HT X2.2343% HT 24.3016%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A modest home lean: Kataller Toyama 59%, Tokushima Vortis 16%, draw 25%. Table: Kataller Toyama 4th (31 pts), Tokushima Vortis 16th (17 pts).

Recent form

The last six for Kataller Toyama read W W W L W D (four wins). Most recent: at Sagan Tosu, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 0.8 a game.

Tokushima Vortis bring a L L L W L D line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: v Tegevajaro Miyazaki, 1–2 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.3 goals a game.

Head-to-head

Latest (Feb 2026): Tokushima Vortis 1–3 Kataller Toyama. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Kataller Toyama 1.7, Tokushima Vortis 0.8 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 50%, BTTS 55%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Kataller Toyama to win – Mind Score 59, bookmaker price around 1.76 against a fair 1.71. Likeliest score: Kataller Toyama 1–0 Tokushima Vortis. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Kataller Toyama

last 6
  • W@ Sagan Tosu2–17 Nov
  • Wv Vegalta Sendai1–03 Nov
  • W@ Albirex Niigata3–231 Oct
  • Lv Consadole Sapporo0–125 Oct
  • W@ Omiya Ardija3–021 Oct
  • Dv Shonan Bellmare1–117 Oct
1.7scored / game0.8conceded50%GG50%over 2.5

Tokushima Vortis

last 6
  • Lv Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–27 Nov
  • L@ Montedio Yamagata0–13 Nov
  • Lv Yokohama FC0–131 Oct
  • W@ Fujieda MYFC1–024 Oct
  • Lv Vanraure Hachinohe0–121 Oct
  • D@ Vegalta Sendai0–017 Oct
0.3scored / game0.8conceded17%GG17%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 22 Feb 2026Tokushima Vortis1–3Kataller Toyama

J2 League table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Omiya Ardija17962+1333
2Tegevajaro Miyazaki17953+1132
3Albirex Niigata171025-332
4Kataller Toyama16943+1431
5Yokohama FC17944+1331
6Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Shonan Bellmare17683+326
9Iwaki16727+423
10Jubilo Iwata16655+223
11Oita Trinita17575022
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Fujieda MYFC17476-319
15Montedio Yamagata176110-319
16Tokushima Vortis16529-517
17Tochigi City174310-515
18Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu173311-2312

More J2 League predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

The Mind pick is Kataller Toyama to win with a Mind Score of 59, priced around 1.76 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Kataller Toyama or Tokushima Vortis?

The model gives Kataller Toyama 59%, the draw 25% and Tokushima Vortis 16%.

What is the likeliest score in Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Kataller Toyama 1–0 Tokushima Vortis.

How many goals are expected in Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 50% and both teams to score 55%.

When does Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis kick off?

Sunday 15 November 2026, 06:00 WAT, at Toyama Stadium – J2 League.