421 matches analysed today 65 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 13:11 WATTelegram18+
Spain Tercera División RFEF Group 2 Sun 11 Oct 2026 Full time
2–2
Half-time 1–2

Astur

LLLDD
58%Gijón Industrial21%Draw21%Astur

Gijón Industrial vs Astur prediction: Gijón Industrial to win

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Gijón Industrial to win

Projected goals favour Gijón Industrial: 1.6 against 0.9. Price check: 1.85 on offer against a fair 1.72 – a positive edge.

58Mind Score Odds1.85 Score1–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Gijón Industrial1.8558% X · Draw3.2021% 2 · Astur3.9021%

Double chance

1X1.2279% 121.3079% X21.8542%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.4071% · fair Under 1.53.4829% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.1946% · fair Under 2.51.8454% · fair

Goals 3.5

Over 3.54.1324% · fair Under 3.51.3276% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.9156% NG · No1.8044%

Half-time result

HT 12.3840% HT X2.1043% HT 24.6017%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A modest home lean: Gijón Industrial 58%, Astur 21%, draw 21%. Table: Gijón Industrial 6th (17 pts), Astur 16th (6 pts).

Recent form

Gijón Industrial – sample of six: W L D L W W, with three wins. Most recent: at Andes, 3–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.2 a game.

Astur – sample of five: D D L L L, with zero wins. Most recent: v Mosconia, 0–0 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.6 goals a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Gijón Industrial 1.6, Astur 0.9 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 46%, BTTS 56%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Gijón Industrial to win – Mind Score 58, bookmaker price around 1.85 against a fair 1.72. Likeliest score: Gijón Industrial 1–0 Astur. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Gijón Industrial

last 6
  • W@ Andes3–04 Oct
  • Lv Condal1–227 Sep
  • D@ Llanes2–220 Sep
  • L@ Mosconia0–213 Sep
  • Wv San Martín2–06 Sep
  • Wv Ceares2–126 Apr
1.7scored / game1.2conceded50%GG67%over 2.5

Astur

last 5
  • Dv Mosconia0–04 Oct
  • D@ San Martín2–227 Sep
  • Lv Siero0–120 Sep
  • L@ Colunga1–213 Sep
  • Lv Caudal0–36 Sep
0.6scored / game1.6conceded40%GG60%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Tercera División RFEF Group 2 table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Covadonga10721+1523
2Sporting Gijón II10631+821
3Lealtad10622+1020
4Condal10550+920
5Caudal10532+318
6Gijón Industrial10523+517
7Mosconia10442+216
8San Martín10433-115
9Praviano10424+614
10Langreo10334-212
11Siero10406-312
12Colunga10334-712
13Avilés Stadium10325-511
14Llanes10244-610
15Ceares10235-29
16Astur10064-66
17L'Entregu10127-135
18Andes10037-133

More Tercera División RFEF Group 2 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Gijón Industrial vs Astur?

The Mind pick is Gijón Industrial to win with a Mind Score of 58, priced around 1.85 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Gijón Industrial or Astur?

The model gives Gijón Industrial 58%, the draw 21% and Astur 21%.

What is the likeliest score in Gijón Industrial vs Astur?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Gijón Industrial 1–0 Astur.

How many goals are expected in Gijón Industrial vs Astur?

Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 46% and both teams to score 56%.

When does Gijón Industrial vs Astur kick off?

Sunday 11 October 2026, 11:00 WAT – Tercera División RFEF Group 2.