Caudal vs Colunga prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Only 3.1 goals projected – a low-event game. Mind Score 61. The 1.50 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The model makes Caudal strong home favourites (68%). Table: Caudal 5th (18 pts), Colunga 12th (12 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Caudal read L W W D D D (two wins). Most recent: v Llanes, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 0.8 a game.
Colunga bring a L D L L D D line into this one: zero wins from six. Most recent: v Langreo, 2–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 2.8 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Caudal 2.2, Colunga 1.0 – 3.1 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 60%, both to score at 47%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 61, bookmaker price around 1.50 against a fair 1.64. Likeliest score: Caudal 2–0 Colunga. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Caudal
last 6- Lv Llanes1–28 Nov
- W@ Langreo1–01 Nov
- Wv Avilés Stadium2–125 Oct
- D@ Lealtad0–018 Oct
- Dv Sporting Gijón II1–111 Oct
- D@ Praviano1–14 Oct
Colunga
last 6- Lv Langreo2–38 Nov
- D@ Avilés Stadium1–11 Nov
- Lv Lealtad0–425 Oct
- L@ Sporting Gijón II0–418 Oct
- Dv Praviano5–510 Oct
- D@ L'Entregu0–03 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Tercera División RFEF Group 2 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Covadonga | 10 | +15 | 23 |
| 2 |  Sporting Gijón II | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |  Lealtad | 10 | +10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Condal | 10 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Caudal | 10 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Gijón Industrial | 10 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 |  Mosconia | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  San Martín | 10 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Praviano | 10 | +6 | 14 |
| 10 |  Langreo | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 |  Siero | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |  Colunga | 10 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 |  Avilés Stadium | 10 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |  Llanes | 10 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 |  Ceares | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Astur | 10 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 |  L'Entregu | 10 | -13 | 5 |
| 18 |  Andes | 10 | -13 | 3 |
More Tercera División RFEF Group 2 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Caudal vs Colunga?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 61, priced around 1.50 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Caudal or Colunga?
The model gives Caudal 68%, the draw 13% and Colunga 18%.
What is the likeliest score in Caudal vs Colunga?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Caudal 2–0 Colunga.
How many goals are expected in Caudal vs Colunga?
Around 3.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 60% and both teams to score 47%.
When does Caudal vs Colunga kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 18:00 WAT – Tercera División RFEF Group 2.