Revilla vs Cayón prediction: Under 3.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 2.4 goals in total. The line lands in 76% of the model's runs. Price check: 1.25 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Cayón shade it on the road, 44% to 31%. Table: Revilla 5th (21 pts), Cayón 2nd (23 pts).
Recent form
Revilla bring a W D W W W D line into this one: four wins from six. Most recent: at Guarnizo, 3–0 (won). The attack is running at 2.5 per game.
Cayón bring a W W W W D W line into this one: five wins from six. Most recent: v Solares, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 0.0 a game. 6 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Latest (Apr 2026): Cayón 2–0 Revilla. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Revilla 1.0, Cayón 1.3 – 2.4 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 44%, BTTS 50%.
The pick
Where the model lands: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 76, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.32. Likeliest score: Revilla 0–1 Cayón. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Revilla
last 6- W@ Guarnizo3–07 Nov
- Dv Vimenor1–130 Oct
- W@ Barquereño3–125 Oct
- Wv Naval Reinosa3–218 Oct
- W@ Escobedo3–210 Oct
- Dv Atlético Albericia2–23 Oct
Cayón
last 6- Wv Solares1–08 Nov
- W@ Selaya3–030 Oct
- Wv Laredo1–025 Oct
- W@ Bezana2–017 Oct
- Dv Torina0–011 Oct
- W@ Velarde1–03 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 12 Apr 2026Cayón2–0Revilla
Tercera División RFEF Group 3 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tropezón | 10 | +16 | 26 |
| 2 |  Cayón | 10 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 |  Sámano | 11 | +16 | 22 |
| 4 |  Laredo | 11 | +12 | 22 |
| 5 |  Revilla | 10 | +11 | 21 |
| 6 |  Bezana | 11 | +8 | 21 |
| 7 |  Vimenor | 10 | +9 | 20 |
| 8 |  Torina | 11 | +6 | 16 |
| 9 |  Atlético Mineros | 11 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Atlético Albericia | 11 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Solares | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 |  Naval Reinosa | 11 | -12 | 9 |
| 13 |  Castro | 10 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 |  Guarnizo | 10 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 |  Selaya | 11 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 |  Barquereño | 11 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 |  Escobedo | 11 | -10 | 7 |
| 18 |  Velarde | 11 | -12 | 7 |
More Tercera División RFEF Group 3 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Revilla vs Cayón?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 76, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Revilla or Cayón?
The model gives Revilla 31%, the draw 25% and Cayón 44%.
What is the likeliest score in Revilla vs Cayón?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Revilla 0–1 Cayón.
How many goals are expected in Revilla vs Cayón?
Around 2.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 44% and both teams to score 50%.
When does Revilla vs Cayón kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 18:00 WAT – Tercera División RFEF Group 3.