Colonia Moscardó vs Galapagar prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Only 3.1 goals projected – a low-event game. The line lands in 64% of the model's runs. Price check: 1.38 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Colonia Moscardó edge it at home, 56% to 22%, with the draw on 22%. Table: Colonia Moscardó 3rd (18 pts), Galapagar 5th (18 pts).
Recent form
Colonia Moscardó bring a D W D D D W line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at Leganés II, 2–2 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 1.0 a game.
Galapagar – sample of six: W D W L W L, with three wins. Most recent: v SS Reyes II, 2–0 (won). Output is high: 2.0 goals a game across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Colonia Moscardó 1.9, Galapagar 1.2 – 3.1 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 57%, BTTS 58%.
The pick
Pick: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 64, bookmaker price around 1.38 against a fair 1.55. Likeliest score: Colonia Moscardó 2–1 Galapagar. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Colonia Moscardó
last 6- D@ Leganés II2–28 Nov
- Wv Cala Pozuelo1–031 Oct
- D@ Rayo Vallecano II1–125 Oct
- Dv Las Rozas1–118 Oct
- D@ Real Aranjuez1–110 Oct
- Wv Pozuelo Alarcón5–14 Oct
Galapagar
last 6- Wv SS Reyes II2–08 Nov
- D@ Trival Valderas2–21 Nov
- Wv RC Alcobendas4–125 Oct
- L@ Móstoles0–318 Oct
- W@ Leganés II3–211 Oct
- Lv Cala Pozuelo1–34 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Tercera División RFEF Group 7 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Móstoles | 10 | +17 | 23 |
| 2 |  Leganés II | 11 | +10 | 18 |
| 3 |  Colonia Moscardó | 10 | +10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Las Rozas | 10 | +5 | 18 |
| 5 |  Galapagar | 10 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Cala Pozuelo | 11 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 |  Unión Adarve | 10 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Fuenlabrada | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 |  Trival Valderas | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 10 |  Pozuelo Alarcón | 10 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Torrejón | 10 | +7 | 14 |
| 12 |  Parla Escuela | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Real Aranjuez | 10 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano II | 10 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  RC Alcobendas | 10 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 |  Alcobendas Sport | 11 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 |  SS Reyes II | 10 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  Villanueva Pardillo | 10 | -19 | 7 |
More Tercera División RFEF Group 7 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Colonia Moscardó vs Galapagar?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 64, priced around 1.38 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Colonia Moscardó or Galapagar?
The model gives Colonia Moscardó 56%, the draw 22% and Galapagar 22%.
What is the likeliest score in Colonia Moscardó vs Galapagar?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Colonia Moscardó 2–1 Galapagar.
How many goals are expected in Colonia Moscardó vs Galapagar?
Around 3.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 57% and both teams to score 58%.
When does Colonia Moscardó vs Galapagar kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 12:00 WAT – Tercera División RFEF Group 7.