Unión Adarve vs Las Rozas prediction: Over 1.5 goals
An open game on paper: 3.2 projected goals. The line lands in 78% of the model's runs. Price check: 1.24 is close to fair.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Unión Adarve edge it at home, 47% to 30%, with the draw on 24%. Table: Unión Adarve 7th (16 pts), Las Rozas 4th (18 pts).
Recent form
Unión Adarve bring a L W D W W L line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at Real Aranjuez, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 1.5 a game.
The last six for Las Rozas read D L W D W W (three wins). Most recent: v Torrejón, 2–2 (drawn). The attack is running at 2.3 per game.
Head-to-head
Latest (May 2026): Las Rozas 0–2 Unión Adarve. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Unión Adarve 1.8, Las Rozas 1.4 – 3.2 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 56%, BTTS 63%.
The pick
Pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 78, bookmaker price around 1.24 against a fair 1.28. Likeliest score: Unión Adarve 2–1 Las Rozas. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Unión Adarve
last 6- L@ Real Aranjuez1–27 Nov
- Wv Pozuelo Alarcón3–131 Oct
- D@ Parla Escuela1–125 Oct
- Wv Villanueva Pardillo4–018 Oct
- Wv Móstoles2–111 Oct
- L@ Torrejón0–44 Oct
Las Rozas
last 6- Dv Torrejón2–28 Nov
- L@ Fuenlabrada0–31 Nov
- Wv Alcobendas Sport4–325 Oct
- D@ Colonia Moscardó1–118 Oct
- Wv SS Reyes II4–211 Oct
- Wv RC Alcobendas3–07 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 3 May 2026Las Rozas0–2Unión Adarve
Tercera División RFEF Group 7 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Móstoles | 10 | +17 | 23 |
| 2 |  Leganés II | 11 | +10 | 18 |
| 3 |  Colonia Moscardó | 10 | +10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Las Rozas | 10 | +5 | 18 |
| 5 |  Galapagar | 10 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Cala Pozuelo | 11 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 |  Unión Adarve | 10 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Fuenlabrada | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 |  Trival Valderas | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 10 |  Pozuelo Alarcón | 10 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Torrejón | 10 | +7 | 14 |
| 12 |  Parla Escuela | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Real Aranjuez | 10 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano II | 10 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  RC Alcobendas | 10 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 |  Alcobendas Sport | 11 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 |  SS Reyes II | 10 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  Villanueva Pardillo | 10 | -19 | 7 |
More Tercera División RFEF Group 7 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Unión Adarve vs Las Rozas?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 78, priced around 1.24 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Unión Adarve or Las Rozas?
The model gives Unión Adarve 47%, the draw 24% and Las Rozas 30%.
What is the likeliest score in Unión Adarve vs Las Rozas?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Unión Adarve 2–1 Las Rozas.
How many goals are expected in Unión Adarve vs Las Rozas?
Around 3.2 in total – over 2.5 rates 56% and both teams to score 63%.
When does Unión Adarve vs Las Rozas kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 12:00 WAT – Tercera División RFEF Group 7.