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Spain Tercera División RFEF Group 8 Sun 15 Nov 2026 Upcoming
Sunday · WAT
21%Bembibre29%Draw49%Cultural Leonesa II

Bembibre vs Cultural Leonesa II prediction: Under 2.5 goals

The Mind pick Under 2.5 goals

The model sees few chances: 2.1 goals in total. The line lands in 63% of the model's runs. Price check: 1.53 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.

63Mind Score Odds1.53 Score0–1

Your call: who wins?

Fans' vote

Vote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Bembibre4.0521% X · Draw3.0429% 2 · Cultural Leonesa II1.8349%

Double chance

1X1.7451% 121.2771% X21.1479%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3963% Under 1.52.5937%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.2937% Under 2.51.5363%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.54.2519% Under 3.51.1581%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes2.0349% NG · No1.6551%

Half-time result

HT 15.0020% HT X1.9048% HT 22.5231%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A slight away lean – Cultural Leonesa II 49%, Bembibre 21%. Table: Bembibre 8th (15 pts), Cultural Leonesa II 3rd (21 pts).

Recent form

Bembibre bring a L D L D W W line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at Palencia CF, 0–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.2 a game.

Cultural Leonesa II bring a D D W W W L line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: v Cristo Atlético, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.0 a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Bembibre 0.9, Cultural Leonesa II 1.2 – 2.1 in total. Few chances projected: under 2.5 at 63%.

The pick

The Mind pick: Under 2.5 goals – Mind Score 63, bookmaker price around 1.53 against a fair 1.60. Likeliest score: Bembibre 0–1 Cultural Leonesa II. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Bembibre

last 6
  • L@ Palencia CF0–28 Nov
  • Dv Colegios Diocesanos1–11 Nov
  • L@ Villaralbo0–224 Oct
  • Dv Arandina1–117 Oct
  • W@ Unionistas II2–110 Oct
  • Wv La Virgen del Camino2–04 Oct
1.0scored / game1.2conceded50%GG17%over 2.5

Cultural Leonesa II

last 6
  • Dv Cristo Atlético0–07 Nov
  • D@ Turégano1–11 Nov
  • Wv Calasanz de Soria2–125 Oct
  • W@ Salamanca II2–017 Oct
  • Wv Almazán5–210 Oct
  • L@ UD Santa Marta0–24 Oct
1.7scored / game1.0conceded50%GG33%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Tercera División RFEF Group 8 table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Santa Marta10721+1223
2Cristo Atlético10721+1023
3Cultural Leonesa II10631+821
4Burgos Promesas10622+1020
5Palencia CF10523+717
6La Virgen del Camino10523017
7Almazán10442+216
8Bembibre10433015
9Villaralbo10343+413
10Guijuelo9414+413
11Atlético Mansillés9342+213
12Arandina10262-112
13Turégano10253-111
14Unionistas II10226-68
15Calasanz de Soria10217-137
16Colegios Diocesanos10136-106
17Salamanca II10118-184
18Mirandés II10037-103

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Bembibre vs Cultural Leonesa II?

The Mind pick is Under 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 63, priced around 1.53 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Bembibre or Cultural Leonesa II?

The model gives Bembibre 21%, the draw 29% and Cultural Leonesa II 49%.

What is the likeliest score in Bembibre vs Cultural Leonesa II?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Bembibre 0–1 Cultural Leonesa II.

How many goals are expected in Bembibre vs Cultural Leonesa II?

Around 2.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 37% and both teams to score 49%.

When does Bembibre vs Cultural Leonesa II kick off?

Sunday 15 November 2026, 16:30 WAT – Tercera División RFEF Group 8.