Almería II vs Melilla prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Only 2.2 goals projected – a low-event game. The line lands in 76% of the model's runs. Price check: 1.30 is close to fair.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Almería II edge it at home, 41% to 33%, with the draw on 27%. Table: Almería II 5th (19 pts), Melilla 2nd (23 pts).
Recent form
Almería II – sample of six: D D D W W D, with two wins. Most recent: at Motril, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 0.7 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
The last six for Melilla read D D W L W W (three wins). Most recent: v Granada II, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 0.8 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Almería II 1.2, Melilla 1.0 – 2.2 in total. A low-event profile – under 2.5 rates 56%.
The pick
Pick: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 76, bookmaker price around 1.30 against a fair 1.31. Likeliest score: Almería II 1–0 Melilla. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Almería II
last 6- D@ Motril0–08 Nov
- Dv Churriana Vega0–01 Nov
- Dv Atletico de Marbella2–225 Oct
- W@ Granada II1–018 Oct
- Wv Málaga II2–111 Oct
- D@ Cantoria1–14 Oct
Melilla
last 6- Dv Granada II0–08 Nov
- D@ Málaga II2–231 Oct
- Wv Cantoria2–024 Oct
- L@ Atlético Porcuna0–218 Oct
- Wv UD San Pedro2–011 Oct
- W@ Alhaurino2–14 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Tercera División RFEF Group 9 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arenas Armilla | 11 | +10 | 23 |
| 2 |  Melilla | 10 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 |  Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 10 | +9 | 20 |
| 4 |  Málaga II | 11 | +9 | 19 |
| 5 |  Almería II | 10 | +8 | 19 |
| 6 |  Motril | 10 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 |  Churriana Vega | 10 | +5 | 15 |
| 8 |  Marbelli | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 |  UD San Pedro | 10 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Granada II | 10 | +3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Huétor Vega | 10 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Atlético Porcuna | 10 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 |  Torre del Mar | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Alhaurino | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 |  Atletico de Marbella | 10 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Mancha Real | 10 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 |  Cantoria | 10 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 |  Malaga City | 10 | -18 | 0 |
More Tercera División RFEF Group 9 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Almería II vs Melilla?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 76, priced around 1.30 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Almería II or Melilla?
The model gives Almería II 41%, the draw 27% and Melilla 33%.
What is the likeliest score in Almería II vs Melilla?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Almería II 1–0 Melilla.
How many goals are expected in Almería II vs Melilla?
Around 2.2 in total – over 2.5 rates 44% and both teams to score 56%.
When does Almería II vs Melilla kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 12:00 WAT – Tercera División RFEF Group 9.