Villacañas vs Tarancón prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Villacañas (1.8) plus Tarancón (1.0) puts 2.8 goals on the board. Mind Score 69. Price check: 1.49 is close to fair.
Your call: who wins?
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Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Villacañas 50%, Tarancón 28%, draw 22%. Table: Villacañas 3rd (18 pts), Tarancón 8th (15 pts).
Recent form
Villacañas – sample of six: D W W W D L, with three wins. Most recent: at Guadalajara II, 2–2 (drawn). The attack is running at 2.3 per game.
Tarancón – sample of six: D L D D W W, with two wins. Most recent: v Levante, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.2 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Villacañas 1.8, Tarancón 1.0 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 45%, BTTS 46%.
The pick
Where the model lands: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 69, bookmaker price around 1.49 against a fair 1.45. Likeliest score: Villacañas 2–1 Tarancón. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Villacañas
last 6- D@ Guadalajara II2–27 Nov
- Wv CD Villa4–131 Oct
- W@ Torrijos3–025 Oct
- Wv Illescas4–317 Oct
- D@ Villarrobledo0–011 Oct
- Lv Toledo1–23 Oct
Tarancón
last 6- Dv Levante1–112 Nov
- Lv La Solana0–28 Nov
- D@ Noblejas2–231 Oct
- Dv Villarrubia1–124 Oct
- W@ Quintanar del Rey2–118 Oct
- Wv Socuéllamos1–010 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Tercera División RFEF Group 18 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchego | 11 | +11 | 27 |
| 2 |  Toledo | 10 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 |  Villacañas | 10 | +9 | 18 |
| 4 |  CD Villa | 11 | +1 | 18 |
| 5 |  Villarrobledo | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  Illescas | 10 | +1 | 17 |
| 7 |  Villarrubia | 11 | +1 | 16 |
| 8 |  Tarancón | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  San Clemente | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Noblejas | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 |  Torrijos | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Socuéllamos | 11 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Almansa | 10 | +2 | 12 |
| 14 |  La Solana | 11 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 |  Marchamalo | 11 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 |  Quintanar del Rey | 11 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 |  Huracán Balazote | 10 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 |  Guadalajara II | 10 | -15 | 3 |
More Tercera División RFEF Group 18 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Villacañas vs Tarancón?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 69, priced around 1.49 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Villacañas or Tarancón?
The model gives Villacañas 50%, the draw 22% and Tarancón 28%.
What is the likeliest score in Villacañas vs Tarancón?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Villacañas 2–1 Tarancón.
How many goals are expected in Villacañas vs Tarancón?
Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 45% and both teams to score 46%.
When does Villacañas vs Tarancón kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 16:30 WAT – Tercera División RFEF Group 18.