Kavala vs Aetos Orfani prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Kavala (1.6) plus Aetos Orfani (1.4) puts 3.0 goals on the board. The line lands in 74% of the model's runs. At 1.32 the market and the model roughly agree.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Kavala 45%, Aetos Orfani 34%, draw 22%. Table: Kavala 5th (7 pts), Aetos Orfani 3rd (7 pts).
Recent form
Kavala bring a L D L W W D line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v Doxa Dramas, 0–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.2 a game.
Aetos Orfani – sample of six: W L W D L L, with two wins. Most recent: v Thrakis, 4–2 (won). Output is high: 2.2 goals a game across the sample. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Kavala 1.6, Aetos Orfani 1.4 – 3.0 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both to score at 52%.
The pick
Pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 74, bookmaker price around 1.32 against a fair 1.35. Likeliest score: Kavala 2–1 Aetos Orfani. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Kavala
last 6- Lv Doxa Dramas0–38 Nov
- D@ Doxa Neo Sidirochori0–031 Oct
- Lv Eleftheroupolis0–125 Oct
- W@ Apollon Paralimniou3–118 Oct
- W@ Thrakis1–010 Oct
- Dv Nestos Chrisoupolis2–226 Apr
Aetos Orfani
last 6- Wv Thrakis4–28 Nov
- L@ Doxa Dramas1–531 Oct
- Wv MAS Ardas Kastanion4–125 Oct
- D@ Doxa Neo Sidirochori3–318 Oct
- Lv Xanthi FC0–110 Oct
- L@ Poseidon Nea Michaniona1–25 Apr
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Gamma Ethniki Group 1 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Doxa Dramas | 5 | +13 | 15 |
| 2 |  Xanthi FC | 5 | +9 | 13 |
| 3 |  Aetos Orfani | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 |  Eleftheroupolis | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 5 |  Kavala | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 |  Pontion Nea Amisos | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 |  MAS Ardas Kastanion | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 8 |  Thrakis | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 |  Doxa Neo Sidirochori | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 |  Apollon Paralimniou | 5 | -8 | 3 |
More Gamma Ethniki Group 1 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Kavala vs Aetos Orfani?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 74, priced around 1.32 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Kavala or Aetos Orfani?
The model gives Kavala 45%, the draw 22% and Aetos Orfani 34%.
What is the likeliest score in Kavala vs Aetos Orfani?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Kavala 2–1 Aetos Orfani.
How many goals are expected in Kavala vs Aetos Orfani?
Around 3.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 51% and both teams to score 52%.
When does Kavala vs Aetos Orfani kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 14:00 WAT – Gamma Ethniki Group 1.