412 matches analysed today 9 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 10:54 WATTelegram18+
Italy Serie D Girone A Sun 8 Nov 2026 Full time

Gozzano

LLWLD
1–2
Half-time 1–0
35%Gozzano22%Draw43%Derthona

Gozzano vs Derthona prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Over 1.5 goals

The goal projection sits at 2.6, clear of the 1.5 line. The line lands in 73% of the model's runs. Gozzano were beaten last time (LDL); Derthona's latest result was a win (WWD). Mind Score 73.

73Mind Score Odds– Score1–2

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Gozzano2.9535% X · Draw3.1022% 2 · Derthona2.2243%

Double chance

1X1.5357% 121.3078% X21.3265%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3773% · fair Under 1.53.6727% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.9347% Under 2.51.7253%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.8726% · fair Under 3.51.3574% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.7557% NG · No1.9043%

Half-time result

HT 13.5526% HT X2.0043% HT 22.8531%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Derthona shade it on the road, 43% to 35%. Table: Gozzano 11th (14 pts), Derthona 4th (19 pts).

Recent form

The last six for Gozzano read D L W L L W (two wins). Most recent: at Saluzzo, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 2.2 a game.

The last six for Derthona read W D D L L D (one win). Most recent: v Lascaris, 4–3 (won). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.8 a game.

Head-to-head

Latest (May 2026): Derthona 1–1 Gozzano. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Gozzano 1.2, Derthona 1.4 – 2.6 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 47%, BTTS 57%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 73. Likeliest score: Gozzano 1–2 Derthona. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Gozzano

last 6
  • D@ Saluzzo0–01 Nov
  • Lv Chisola2–325 Oct
  • W@ Celle Varazze2–118 Oct
  • Lv Ligorna0–411 Oct
  • L@ Biellese1–44 Oct
  • Wv Sanremese2–127 Sep
1.2scored / game2.2conceded67%GG83%over 2.5

Derthona

last 6
  • Wv Lascaris4–31 Nov
  • D@ Bra0–025 Oct
  • Dv Asti1–118 Oct
  • L@ Chisola2–411 Oct
  • Lv Alessandria1–34 Oct
  • D@ Saluzzo0–027 Sep
1.3scored / game1.8conceded67%GG50%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 10 May 2026Derthona1–1Gozzano

Serie D Girone A table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alessandria111001+1230
2Chisola11632+1221
3Biellese11632+1021
4Derthona11542+119
5Ligorna11533+518
6Millesimo11524+617
7Sanremese11452+417
8Saluzzo11362+115
9Imperia11434+115
10Asti11425-214
11Gozzano11425-414
12Sestri Levante11344-213
13Borgosesia11344-213
14Lascaris11335-512
15Fezzanese11326-711
16Bra11245-710
17Valenzana11137-86
18Celle Varazze11119-154

More Serie D Girone A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Gozzano vs Derthona?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 73.

Who is favourite, Gozzano or Derthona?

The model gives Gozzano 35%, the draw 22% and Derthona 43%.

What is the likeliest score in Gozzano vs Derthona?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Gozzano 1–2 Derthona.

How many goals are expected in Gozzano vs Derthona?

Around 2.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 47% and both teams to score 57%.

When does Gozzano vs Derthona kick off?

Sunday 8 November 2026, 14:30 WAT – Serie D Girone A.