415 matches analysed today 19 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 11:05 WATTelegram18+
Italy Serie D Girone A Sun 8 Nov 2026 · Giuseppe Sivori Full time
3–2
Half-time 0–1

Bra

WDWDL
41%Sestri Levante22%Draw37%Bra

Sestri Levante vs Bra prediction: Under 3.5 goals

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Under 3.5 goals

The model sees few chances: 2.4 goals in total. The line lands in 78% of the model's runs. Sestri Levante's latest result was a win (WDD); Bra were beaten last time (LLD). Mind Score 78.

78Mind Score Odds– Score1–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Sestri Levante2.2241% X · Draw3.2022% 2 · Bra2.8737%

Double chance

1X1.3463% 121.2978% X21.5359%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.4569% · fair Under 1.53.2131% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.8246% Under 2.51.8254%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.54.5922% · fair Under 3.51.2878% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.6657% NG · No2.0143%

Half-time result

HT 12.8528% HT X2.0545% HT 23.4526%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The ratings barely separate them: Sestri Levante 41%, draw 22%, Bra 37%. Table: Sestri Levante 12th (13 pts), Bra 16th (10 pts).

Recent form

Sestri Levante bring a D D D L D W line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Lucchese, 1–1 (drawn). Just 0.5 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Bra bring a L D W D W L line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at Chisola, 1–5 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.7 a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Sestri Levante 1.2, Bra 1.2 – 2.4 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 46%, BTTS 57%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 78. Likeliest score: Sestri Levante 1–0 Bra. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Sestri Levante

last 6
  • D@ Lucchese1–14 Nov
  • D@ Ligorna0–01 Nov
  • Dv Saluzzo0–025 Oct
  • L@ Sanremese0–118 Oct
  • Dv Celle Varazze1–111 Oct
  • Wv Pistoiese1–07 Oct
0.5scored / game0.5conceded33%GG0%over 2.5

Bra

last 6
  • L@ Chisola1–51 Nov
  • Dv Derthona0–025 Oct
  • W@ Ligorna2–118 Oct
  • Dv Saluzzo1–111 Oct
  • Wv Celle Varazze2–07 Oct
  • L@ Sanremese0–34 Oct
1.0scored / game1.7conceded50%GG50%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Serie D Girone A table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alessandria111001+1230
2Chisola11632+1221
3Biellese11632+1021
4Derthona11542+119
5Ligorna11533+518
6Millesimo11524+617
7Sanremese11452+417
8Saluzzo11362+115
9Imperia11434+115
10Asti11425-214
11Gozzano11425-414
12Sestri Levante11344-213
13Borgosesia11344-213
14Lascaris11335-512
15Fezzanese11326-711
16Bra11245-710
17Valenzana11137-86
18Celle Varazze11119-154

More Serie D Girone A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Sestri Levante vs Bra?

The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 78.

Who is favourite, Sestri Levante or Bra?

The model gives Sestri Levante 41%, the draw 22% and Bra 37%.

What is the likeliest score in Sestri Levante vs Bra?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Sestri Levante 1–0 Bra.

How many goals are expected in Sestri Levante vs Bra?

Around 2.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 46% and both teams to score 57%.

When does Sestri Levante vs Bra kick off?

Sunday 8 November 2026, 15:00 WAT, at Giuseppe Sivori – Serie D Girone A.