421 matches analysed today 62 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 12:45 WATTelegram18+
England FA Cup Tue 6 Oct 2026 Full time

Spalding United

WWWLD
4–0
Half-time 3–0

Bury Town

WWLWD
63%Spalding United15%Draw21%Bury Town

Spalding United vs Bury Town prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Over 1.5 goals

The goal projection sits at 3.8, clear of the 1.5 line. The line lands in 89% of the model's runs. Spalding United's form is mixed (DLD, 0 W 2 D 1 L); Bury Town's form is mixed (DDWL, 1 W 2 D 1 L). Mind Score 89.

89Mind Score Odds– Score2–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Spalding United1.6763% X · Draw4.0015% 2 · Bury Town3.7521%

Double chance

1X1.1879% 121.2585% X22.1037%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.1289% · fair Under 1.59.3111% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.3773% · fair Under 2.53.7227% · fair

Goals 3.5

Over 3.51.9053% · fair Under 3.52.1147% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.7562% NG · No1.9538%

Half-time result

HT 12.2047% HT X2.3033% HT 24.5020%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The model makes Spalding United strong home favourites (63%).

Recent form

Spalding United – sample of six: D L W W W W, with four wins. Most recent: at Bury Town, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 0.8 a game.

Bury Town bring a D W L W W L line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: v Spalding United, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.7 a game.

Head-to-head

Latest (Oct 2026): Bury Town 1–1 Spalding United. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Spalding United 2.4, Bury Town 1.4 – 3.8 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 73%, both to score at 62%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 89. Likeliest score: Spalding United 2–1 Bury Town. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Spalding United

last 6
  • D@ Bury Town1–13 Oct
  • L@ Chorley1–226 Sep
  • Wv Hanley Town2–019 Sep
  • Wv Bedford Town2–112 Sep
  • W@ Spennymoor Town3–18 Sep
  • Wv Southport2–05 Sep
1.8scored / game0.8conceded67%GG50%over 2.5

Bury Town

last 6
  • Dv Spalding United1–13 Oct
  • W@ Bishop's Stortford2–129 Sep
  • L@ St Albans City1–426 Sep
  • Wv Hitchin Town1–022 Sep
  • W@ Gorleston4–319 Sep
  • L@ Bromsgrove Sporting0–112 Sep
1.5scored / game1.7conceded67%GG50%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 3 Oct 2026Bury Town1–1Spalding United

More FA Cup predictions

League page →
FT Scarborough Athletic1Macclesfield1AET 1–2 391942 Pick landed ✓Over 1.5 goalsMS 84
FT Wingate & Finchley1Bedford Town3 381943 Pick landed ✓Over 1.5 goalsMS 73

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Spalding United vs Bury Town?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 89.

Who is favourite, Spalding United or Bury Town?

The model gives Spalding United 63%, the draw 15% and Bury Town 21%.

What is the likeliest score in Spalding United vs Bury Town?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Spalding United 2–1 Bury Town.

How many goals are expected in Spalding United vs Bury Town?

Around 3.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 73% and both teams to score 62%.

When does Spalding United vs Bury Town kick off?

Tuesday 6 October 2026, 19:45 WAT – FA Cup.