421 matches analysed today 66 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 13:19 WATTelegram18+
England FA Cup Tue 6 Oct 2026 · Maurice Rebak Stadium Full time
1–3
Half-time 1–2
38%Wingate & Finchley19%Draw42%Bedford Town

Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford Town prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Over 1.5 goals

The goal projection sits at 2.6, clear of the 1.5 line. Mind Score 73. Wingate & Finchley's form is mixed (DLD, 0 W 2 D 1 L). Mind Score 73.

73Mind Score Odds– Score1–2

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Wingate & Finchley2.8038% X · Draw3.6019% 2 · Bedford Town2.1042%

Double chance

1X1.6258% 121.3081% X21.3662%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3873% · fair Under 1.53.6627% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.1147% · fair Under 2.51.9053% · fair

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.8826% · fair Under 3.51.3574% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.6061% NG · No2.2039%

Half-time result

HT 13.3027% HT X2.2543% HT 22.7030%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A near-even split in the model – home 38%, draw 19%, away 42%.

Recent form

The last six for Wingate & Finchley read D W W D W L (three wins). Most recent: at Bedford Town, 2–2 (drawn). Output is high: 2.2 goals a game across the sample.

The last six for Bedford Town read D D W L W W (three wins). Most recent: v Wingate & Finchley, 2–2 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.2 a game.

Head-to-head

Latest (Oct 2026): Bedford Town 2–2 Wingate & Finchley. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Wingate & Finchley 1.2, Bedford Town 1.3 – 2.6 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 47%, BTTS 61%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 73. Likeliest score: Wingate & Finchley 1–2 Bedford Town. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Wingate & Finchley

last 6
  • D@ Bedford Town2–23 Oct
  • W@ Real Bedford3–026 Sep
  • Wv Hemel Hempstead Town2–122 Sep
  • D@ Hemel Hempstead Town1–119 Sep
  • W@ Aveley4–314 Sep
  • L@ Welling United1–412 Sep
2.2scored / game1.8conceded83%GG83%over 2.5

Bedford Town

last 6
  • Dv Wingate & Finchley2–23 Oct
  • Dv Hereford1–126 Sep
  • Wv King's Lynn Town2–119 Sep
  • L@ Spalding United1–212 Sep
  • W@ Worksop Town2–18 Sep
  • Wv Radcliffe1–05 Sep
1.5scored / game1.2conceded83%GG67%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 3 Oct 2026Bedford Town2–2Wingate & Finchley

More FA Cup predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford Town?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 73.

Who is favourite, Wingate & Finchley or Bedford Town?

The model gives Wingate & Finchley 38%, the draw 19% and Bedford Town 42%.

What is the likeliest score in Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford Town?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Wingate & Finchley 1–2 Bedford Town.

How many goals are expected in Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford Town?

Around 2.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 47% and both teams to score 61%.

When does Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford Town kick off?

Tuesday 6 October 2026, 19:45 WAT, at Maurice Rebak Stadium – FA Cup.