Finland U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21 prediction: Finland U21 to win
The model lands a Finland U21 win in 66% of simulations. The bookmaker's 1.69 beats the model's fair price of 1.52.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Finland U21 are clear favourites at 66% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Finland U21 3rd (19 pts), Republic of Ireland U21 7th (15 pts).
Recent form
Finland U21 bring a D W W W W W line into this one: five wins from six. Most recent: at Kosovo U21, 4–4 (drawn). Output is high: 2.7 goals a game across the sample. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Republic of Ireland U21 bring a W W W D D W line into this one: four wins from six. Most recent: v England U21, 3–1 (won). Output is high: 2.0 goals a game across the sample. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Finland U21 2.2, Republic of Ireland U21 0.8 – 3.0 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 53%, BTTS 52%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Finland U21 to win – Mind Score 66, bookmaker price around 1.69 against a fair 1.52. Likeliest score: Finland U21 2–0 Republic of Ireland U21. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Finland U21
last 6- D@ Kosovo U214–46 Oct
- W@ Romania U212–030 Sep
- Wv Spain U212–125 Sep
- W@ Norway U212–08 Jun
- W@ Sweden U213–14 Jun
- Wv Cyprus U213–031 Mar
Republic of Ireland U21
last 6- Wv England U213–16 Oct
- Wv Kazakhstan U214–329 Sep
- W@ Slovakia U212–025 Sep
- Dv Qatar U230–09 Jun
- D@ Croatia U212–26 Jun
- W@ Kazakhstan U211–031 Mar
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Norway U21 | 10 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 |  Croatia U21 | 10 | +15 | 22 |
| 3 |  Finland U21 | 10 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Austria U21 | 10 | +9 | 16 |
| 5 |  Azerbaijan U21 | 10 | -12 | 7 |
| 6 |  Estonia U21 | 10 | -32 | 0 |
More UEFA U21 Championship Qualification predictions
League page →
Turkey U210
Czechia U211
Denmark U210
Netherlands U213Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Finland U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21?
The Mind pick is Finland U21 to win with a Mind Score of 66, priced around 1.69 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Finland U21 or Republic of Ireland U21?
The model gives Finland U21 66%, the draw 23% and Republic of Ireland U21 11%.
What is the likeliest score in Finland U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Finland U21 2–0 Republic of Ireland U21.
How many goals are expected in Finland U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21?
Around 3.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 53% and both teams to score 52%.
When does Finland U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21 kick off?
Friday 13 November 2026, 17:15 WAT, at Tammelan Stadion – UEFA U21 Championship Qualification.