Penybont vs Cardiff Draconians prediction: Penybont or draw
Covering two results: Penybont win or draw (94%). Penybont carry a 3-match unbeaten sequence (WWW). Mind Score 94.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The model makes Penybont strong home favourites (79%).
Recent form
Penybont bring a W W W W L W line into this one: five wins from six. Most recent: v Caernarfon Town, 2–0 (won). Output is high: 2.5 goals a game across the sample.
Cardiff Draconians bring a L W L W D D line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at Swansea University, 0–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.5 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Penybont 3.4, Cardiff Draconians 1.1 – 4.5 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 83%, both to score at 59%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Penybont or draw – Mind Score 94. Likeliest score: Penybont 3–1 Cardiff Draconians. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Penybont
last 6- Wv Caernarfon Town2–06 Nov
- W@ Cardiff MET5–031 Oct
- W@ Afan Lido3–218 Oct
- Wv Barry Town3–19 Oct
- L@ GAP Connah S Quay FC0–13 Oct
- Wv Airbus UK2–126 Sep
Cardiff Draconians
last 6- L@ Swansea University0–27 Nov
- Wv Afan Lido2–031 Oct
- L@ Trethomas Bluebirds1–323 Oct
- W@ Radnor Valley3–117 Oct
- Dv Carmarthen Town2–210 Oct
- Dv Newport City1–13 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
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Briton Ferry0Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Penybont vs Cardiff Draconians?
The Mind pick is Penybont or draw with a Mind Score of 94.
Who is favourite, Penybont or Cardiff Draconians?
The model gives Penybont 79%, the draw 15% and Cardiff Draconians 6%.
What is the likeliest score in Penybont vs Cardiff Draconians?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Penybont 3–1 Cardiff Draconians.
How many goals are expected in Penybont vs Cardiff Draconians?
Around 4.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 83% and both teams to score 59%.
When does Penybont vs Cardiff Draconians kick off?
Friday 13 November 2026, 20:45 WAT, at Bryntirion Park – Welsh Cup.