421 matches analysed today 62 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 12:44 WATTelegram18+
Wales Welsh Cup Fri 13 Nov 2026 · Park Hall Full time
5–0
Half-time 3–0
70%The New Saints18%Draw12%Briton Ferry

The New Saints vs Briton Ferry prediction: The New Saints or draw

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ The New Saints or draw

Covering two results: The New Saints win or draw (88%). The New Saints won most recently (WWD); Briton Ferry arrive off a defeat (LLW). Mind Score 88.

88Mind Score Odds– Score2–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · The New Saints1.0870% X · Draw9.0018% 2 · Briton Ferry23.0012%

Double chance

1X1.1488% · fair 121.0482% X27.0030%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.0590% Under 1.58.5010%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.2277% Under 2.54.0023%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.51.5359% Under 3.52.3841%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes2.1057% NG · No1.6743%

Half-time result

HT 11.3054% HT X3.7530% HT 213.0016%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The model makes The New Saints strong home favourites (70%).

Recent form

The New Saints bring a W D W W W W line into this one: five wins from six. Most recent: at Llandudno, 1–0 (won). The attack is running at 4.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Briton Ferry bring a L W L W L W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at Ammanford AFC, 1–3 (lost). The attack is running at 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Head-to-head

Latest (Aug 2026): The New Saints 1–0 Briton Ferry. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: The New Saints 2.8, Briton Ferry 1.2 – 4.0 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 77%, both to score at 57%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was The New Saints or draw – Mind Score 88. Likeliest score: The New Saints 2–1 Briton Ferry. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

The New Saints

last 6
  • W@ Llandudno1–06 Nov
  • Dv GAP Connah S Quay FC0–031 Oct
  • Wv Ammanford AFC9–023 Oct
  • W@ Airbus UK2–116 Oct
  • W@ Holywell6–19 Oct
  • Wv Cambrian & Clydach9–03 Oct
4.5scored / game0.3conceded33%GG67%over 2.5

Briton Ferry

last 6
  • L@ Ammanford AFC1–36 Nov
  • Wv Llandudno3–030 Oct
  • L@ Caernarfon Town1–323 Oct
  • Wv Afan United5–016 Oct
  • Lv GAP Connah S Quay FC1–29 Oct
  • Wv Colwyn Bay1–03 Oct
2.0scored / game1.3conceded50%GG83%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 14 Aug 2026The New Saints1–0Briton Ferry

More Welsh Cup predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?

The Mind pick is The New Saints or draw with a Mind Score of 88.

Who is favourite, The New Saints or Briton Ferry?

The model gives The New Saints 70%, the draw 18% and Briton Ferry 12%.

What is the likeliest score in The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is The New Saints 2–1 Briton Ferry.

How many goals are expected in The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?

Around 4.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 77% and both teams to score 57%.

When does The New Saints vs Briton Ferry kick off?

Friday 13 November 2026, 20:45 WAT, at Park Hall – Welsh Cup.