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England FA Trophy Sat 14 Nov 2026 · Twerton Park Full time

Bath City

WDWLL
0–1
Half-time 0–0

Truro City

LWWWW
13%Bath City24%Draw62%Truro City

Bath City vs Truro City prediction: Truro City to win

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Truro City to win

The model lands a Truro City win in 62% of simulations. Bath City arrive off a defeat (LLLW); Truro City are unbeaten across their last 4 (WWWW). At 1.54 the market and the model roughly agree.

62Mind Score Odds1.54 Score0–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Bath City4.7513% X · Draw3.8824% 2 · Truro City1.5462%

Double chance

1X2.1438% 121.1676% X21.1087%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.1772% Under 1.53.9628%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.6648% Under 2.52.0552%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.6228% Under 3.51.3872%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.6956% NG · No2.0044%

Half-time result

HT 14.9513% HT X2.2844% HT 22.1043%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The away side carries the numbers: Truro City 62%, Bath City 13%.

Recent form

The last six for Bath City read L L W D W W (three wins). Most recent: v Taunton Town, 0–3 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

The last six for Truro City read W W W W L W (five wins). Most recent: v West Bromwich Albion U21, 1–0 (won). Output is high: 2.3 goals a game across the sample. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Bath City 0.6, Truro City 1.7 – 2.3 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 48%, BTTS 56%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Truro City to win – Mind Score 62, bookmaker price around 1.54 against a fair 1.60. Likeliest score: Bath City 0–1 Truro City. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Bath City

last 6
  • Lv Taunton Town0–310 Nov
  • L@ Chichester City1–27 Nov
  • Wv Poole Town1–031 Oct
  • Dv Frome Town0–024 Oct
  • Wv Havant & Wville1–020 Oct
  • W@ Hanwell Town2–017 Oct
0.8scored / game0.8conceded17%GG33%over 2.5

Truro City

last 6
  • Wv West Bromwich Albion U211–03 Nov
  • Wv Ebbsfleet United3–031 Oct
  • Wv Slough Town3–127 Oct
  • W@ Hampton & Richmond4–324 Oct
  • L@ Sutton Utd0–117 Oct
  • Wv Birmingham City U213–013 Oct
2.3scored / game0.8conceded33%GG67%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

More FA Trophy predictions

League page →
FT AFC Telford United1Chelmsford City1Pens 6–5 265321 Pick landed ✓Home or drawMS 79@1.34
FT Alfreton Town0Southport1 342046 Pick missed ✗Both teams scoreMS 65@1.46
FT Avro4Chester1 231463 Pick missed ✗Away winMS 63@1.78
FT Bedford Town1Chesham United1Pens 4–5 572122 Pick landed ✓Home or drawMS 79@1.25
FT Billericay Town3Waltham Abbey1 731710 Pick landed ✓Home winMS 73@1.25
FT Bourne Town0Bromsgrove Sporting2 91873 Pick landed ✓Away winMS 73@1.25
FT Braintree2Kettering Town3 631225 Pick landed ✓Over 2.5 goalsMS 72@1.43
FT Bridlington Town1Macclesfield0 142066 Pick missed ✗Away winMS 66@1.24

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Bath City vs Truro City?

The Mind pick is Truro City to win with a Mind Score of 62, priced around 1.54 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Bath City or Truro City?

The model gives Bath City 13%, the draw 24% and Truro City 62%.

What is the likeliest score in Bath City vs Truro City?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Bath City 0–1 Truro City.

How many goals are expected in Bath City vs Truro City?

Around 2.3 in total – over 2.5 rates 48% and both teams to score 56%.

When does Bath City vs Truro City kick off?

Saturday 14 November 2026, 16:00 WAT, at Twerton Park – FA Trophy.