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England FA Trophy Sat 14 Nov 2026 · The Eyrie Full time
1–1
Half-time 0–0Pens 4–5
57%Bedford Town21%Draw21%Chesham United

Bedford Town vs Chesham United prediction: Bedford Town or draw

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Bedford Town or draw

Only a Bedford Town loss beats this pick, and the model puts that at 21%. Chesham United's form is mixed (DLDL, 0 W 2 D 2 L). Price check: 1.25 is close to fair.

79Mind Score Odds1.25 Score1–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Bedford Town1.9257% X · Draw3.5021% 2 · Chesham United3.2021%

Double chance

1X1.2579% 121.2179% X21.6843%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.1877% Under 1.53.8823%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.7054% Under 2.51.9946%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.7832% Under 3.51.3468%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.6061% NG · No2.1439%

Half-time result

HT 12.5041% HT X2.2140% HT 23.7819%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Bedford Town edge it at home, 57% to 21%, with the draw on 21%.

Recent form

Bedford Town – sample of six: L W W D D L, with two wins. Most recent: v Macclesfield, 0–3 (lost). Just 0.7 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.

The last six for Chesham United read L D L L L D (zero wins). Most recent: at Ebbsfleet United, 0–1 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.7 goals a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Bedford Town 1.8, Chesham United 1.0 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 54%, BTTS 61%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Bedford Town or draw – Mind Score 79, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.27. Likeliest score: Bedford Town 1–0 Chesham United. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Bedford Town

last 6
  • Lv Macclesfield0–331 Oct
  • Wv Hednesford Town1–027 Oct
  • W@ Scarborough Athletic2–124 Oct
  • D@ Cray Wanderers1–120 Oct
  • Dv Cray Wanderers0–017 Oct
  • L@ Chester0–110 Oct
0.7scored / game1.0conceded33%GG33%over 2.5

Chesham United

last 6
  • L@ Ebbsfleet United0–17 Nov
  • Dv Folkestone Invicta2–231 Oct
  • Lv Farnham Town2–427 Oct
  • L@ Dagenham & Redbridge0–224 Oct
  • L@ Forest Green0–520 Oct
  • Dv Forest Green0–017 Oct
0.7scored / game2.3conceded33%GG50%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

More FA Trophy predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Bedford Town vs Chesham United?

The Mind pick is Bedford Town or draw with a Mind Score of 79, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Bedford Town or Chesham United?

The model gives Bedford Town 57%, the draw 21% and Chesham United 21%.

What is the likeliest score in Bedford Town vs Chesham United?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Bedford Town 1–0 Chesham United.

How many goals are expected in Bedford Town vs Chesham United?

Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 54% and both teams to score 61%.

When does Bedford Town vs Chesham United kick off?

Saturday 14 November 2026, 16:00 WAT, at The Eyrie – FA Trophy.