Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Only 2.1 goals projected – a low-event game. The line lands in 72% of the model's runs. Price check: 1.49 on offer against a fair 1.39 – a positive edge.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Leones de Rosario 56%, Sportivo Barracas 16%, draw 27%. Table: Leones de Rosario 4th (51 pts), Sportivo Barracas 7th (40 pts).
Recent form
Leones de Rosario – sample of six: W W W L D D, with three wins. Most recent: v Mercedes, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 0.5 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Sportivo Barracas bring a D D D L D L line into this one: zero wins from six. Most recent: at Sacachispas, 1–1 (drawn). Just 0.3 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Leones de Rosario 2 wins, Sportivo Barracas 0, draws 0; 2.0 goals per game. Latest (Oct 2026): Sportivo Barracas 0–2 Leones de Rosario. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Leones de Rosario 1.5, Sportivo Barracas 0.7 – 2.1 in total. Few chances projected: under 2.5 at 53%.
The pick
Pick: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 72, bookmaker price around 1.49 against a fair 1.39. Likeliest score: Leones de Rosario 1–0 Sportivo Barracas. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Leones de Rosario
last 6- Wv Mercedes1–026 Oct
- Wv Fénix2–112 Oct
- W@ Sportivo Barracas2–05 Oct
- Lv Lujan0–128 Sep
- D@ General Lamadrid1–120 Sep
- D@ Lugano0–012 Sep
Sportivo Barracas
last 6- D@ Sacachispas1–126 Oct
- Dv Sacachispas0–019 Oct
- D@ General Lamadrid0–012 Oct
- Lv Leones de Rosario0–25 Oct
- D@ Atletico Atlas1–127 Sep
- Lv Canuelas0–221 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 5 Oct 2026Sportivo Barracas0–2Leones de Rosario
- 6 Jun 2026Leones de Rosario2–0Sportivo Barracas
Primera C table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lujan | 32 | +24 | 64 |
| 2 |  Canuelas | 32 | +21 | 61 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Español | 32 | +10 | 52 |
| 4 |  Leones de Rosario | 32 | +6 | 51 |
| 5 |  Central Cordoba | 32 | +9 | 49 |
| 6 |  General Lamadrid | 32 | -4 | 41 |
| 7 |  Sportivo Barracas | 32 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 |  El Porvenir | 32 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 |  Central Ballester | 32 | -5 | 38 |
| 10 |  Atletico Atlas | 32 | -5 | 37 |
| 11 |  Claypole | 32 | -13 | 36 |
| 12 |  Yupanqui | 32 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 |  Fénix | 32 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Muñiz | 32 | -15 | 29 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 72, priced around 1.49 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Leones de Rosario or Sportivo Barracas?
The model gives Leones de Rosario 56%, the draw 27% and Sportivo Barracas 16%.
What is the likeliest score in Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Leones de Rosario 1–0 Sportivo Barracas.
How many goals are expected in Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas?
Around 2.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 47% and both teams to score 54%.
When does Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas kick off?
Monday 16 November 2026, 19:00 WAT – Primera C.