U. San Martin vs Union Comercio prediction: Over 1.5 goals
An open game on paper: 2.6 projected goals. Mind Score 70. Price check: 1.34 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
U. San Martin edge it at home, 43% to 34%, with the draw on 24%. Table: U. San Martin 5th (24 pts), Union Comercio 1st (32 pts).
Recent form
U. San Martin bring a W L W W W L line into this one: four wins from six. Most recent: at Alianza Universidad, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.8 a game.
The last six for Union Comercio read D L D W L W (two wins). Most recent: v Minas, 3–3 (drawn). The attack is running at 2.0 per game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Sep 2026): Union Comercio 1–0 U. San Martin. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: U. San Martin 1.4, Union Comercio 1.1 – 2.6 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 45%, BTTS 49%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 70, bookmaker price around 1.34 against a fair 1.43. Likeliest score: U. San Martin 2–1 Union Comercio. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
U. San Martin
last 6- W@ Alianza Universidad1–031 Oct
- Lv Carlos A. Mannucci1–225 Oct
- W@ Bentín Tacna Heroica2–118 Oct
- Wv Bentín Tacna Heroica2–011 Oct
- Wv Alianza Universidad2–16 Oct
- L@ Carlos A. Mannucci0–726 Sep
Union Comercio
last 6- Dv Minas3–331 Oct
- L@ Molinos El Pirata0–126 Oct
- D@ Ayacucho FC1–118 Oct
- Wv Ayacucho FC5–012 Oct
- L@ Minas1–46 Oct
- Wv Molinos El Pirata2–027 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 6 Sep 2026Union Comercio1–0U. San Martin
Segunda División table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Union Comercio | 16 | +14 | 32 |
| 2 |  Carlos A. Mannucci | 16 | +10 | 30 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Llacuabamba | 16 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 |  Molinos El Pirata | 16 | +5 | 25 |
| 5 |  U. San Martin | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 6 |  Deportiva Agropecuaria | 15 | +2 | 21 |
| 7 |  Cesar Vallejo | 15 | +1 | 19 |
| 8 |  Academia Cantolao | 16 | -11 | 14 |
| 9 |  San Marcos | 14 | -43 | 0 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for U. San Martin vs Union Comercio?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 70, priced around 1.34 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, U. San Martin or Union Comercio?
The model gives U. San Martin 43%, the draw 24% and Union Comercio 34%.
What is the likeliest score in U. San Martin vs Union Comercio?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is U. San Martin 2–1 Union Comercio.
How many goals are expected in U. San Martin vs Union Comercio?
Around 2.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 45% and both teams to score 49%.
When does U. San Martin vs Union Comercio kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 16:45 WAT, at Villa Deportiva USMP – Segunda División.