Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano prediction: Under 2.5 goals
Only 2.0 goals projected – a low-event game. The line lands in 67% of the model's runs. The 1.40 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The ratings barely separate them: Deportivo Armenio 41%, draw 24%, Sportivo Italiano 35%. Table: Deportivo Armenio 8th (63 pts), Sportivo Italiano 3rd (72 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Deportivo Armenio read D L D D W W (two wins). Most recent: at Flandria, 1–1 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Sportivo Italiano bring a W L D W W W line into this one: four wins from six. Most recent: v Villa Dalmine, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.0 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Latest (Sep 2026): Deportivo Armenio 1–0 Sportivo Italiano. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Deportivo Armenio 1.1, Sportivo Italiano 0.9 – 2.0 in total. A low-event profile – under 2.5 rates 67%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 2.5 goals – Mind Score 67, bookmaker price around 1.40 against a fair 1.50. Likeliest score: Deportivo Armenio 1–0 Sportivo Italiano. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Deportivo Armenio
last 6- D@ Flandria1–131 Oct
- Lv Argentino Quilmes0–124 Oct
- D@ Defensores Unidos0–017 Oct
- Dv Comunicaciones0–010 Oct
- W@ Dock Sud3–04 Oct
- Wv Deportivo Merlo1–026 Sep
Sportivo Italiano
last 6- Wv Villa Dalmine1–031 Oct
- L@ Excursionistas0–424 Oct
- Dv Arsenal Sarandi0–017 Oct
- W@ Argentino de Merlo2–111 Oct
- Wv Talleres Remedios2–04 Oct
- W@ Deportivo Laferrere2–126 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 12 Sep 2026Deportivo Armenio1–0Sportivo Italiano
Primera B Metropolitana table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 42 | +36 | 81 |
| 2 |  Arsenal Sarandi | 42 | +28 | 77 |
| 3 |  Sportivo Italiano | 42 | +15 | 72 |
| 4 |  Talleres Remedios | 42 | +19 | 71 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Camioneros | 42 | +15 | 70 |
| 6 |  Villa Dalmine | 42 | +12 | 68 |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 42 | +4 | 66 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Armenio | 42 | +3 | 63 |
| 9 |  Comunicaciones | 42 | +5 | 60 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 42 | -2 | 59 |
| 11 |  Villa San Carlos | 42 | -5 | 51 |
| 12 |  San Martín Burzaco | 42 | -6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Argentino de Merlo | 42 | -6 | 50 |
| 14 |  Flandria | 42 | -10 | 49 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Merlo | 42 | -15 | 49 |
| 16 |  Liniers | 42 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 |  Argentino Quilmes | 42 | -8 | 47 |
| 18 |  Dock Sud | 42 | -9 | 47 |
| 19 |  Defensores Unidos | 42 | -6 | 46 |
| 20 |  Brown DE Adrogue | 42 | -12 | 46 |
| 21 |  UAI Urquiza | 42 | -10 | 45 |
| 22 |  Ituzaingó | 42 | -41 | 17 |
More Primera B Metropolitana predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano?
The Mind pick is Under 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 67, priced around 1.40 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Deportivo Armenio or Sportivo Italiano?
The model gives Deportivo Armenio 41%, the draw 24% and Sportivo Italiano 35%.
What is the likeliest score in Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Deportivo Armenio 1–0 Sportivo Italiano.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano?
Around 2.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 33% and both teams to score 48%.
When does Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 19:30 WAT, at Armenia Stadium – Primera B Metropolitana.