Monterrey W vs Pachuca W prediction: Over 2.5 goals
The goal projection sits at 3.6, clear of the 2.5 line. Probability 64%. The form line for Monterrey W reads WWWD – no defeats; Pachuca W have taken 3 wins from 4 (LWWW). Price check: 1.57 is close to fair.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Monterrey W 57%, Pachuca W 25%, draw 18%. Table: Monterrey W 2nd (37 pts), Pachuca W 10th (19 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Monterrey W read W W W D W W (five wins). Most recent: at Pachuca W, 1–0 (won). Output is high: 2.7 goals a game across the sample. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
The last six for Pachuca W read L W W W L L (three wins). Most recent: v Monterrey W, 0–1 (lost). The attack is running at 2.7 per game.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Monterrey W 3 wins, Pachuca W 1, draws 0; 2.3 goals per game. Latest (Nov 2026): Pachuca W 0–1 Monterrey W. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Monterrey W 2.3, Pachuca W 1.3 – 3.6 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 64%, both to score at 56%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Over 2.5 goals – Mind Score 64, bookmaker price around 1.57 against a fair 1.55. Likeliest score: Monterrey W 2–1 Pachuca W. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Monterrey W
last 6- W@ Pachuca W1–012 Nov
- W@ Juárez W2–17 Nov
- Wv Pumas UNAM W6–031 Oct
- D@ Tigres UANL W2–226 Oct
- Wv Cruz Azul W1–018 Oct
- Wv América W4–33 Oct
Pachuca W
last 6- Lv Monterrey W0–112 Nov
- Wv Puebla W4–37 Nov
- W@ Querétaro W5–01 Nov
- Wv Necaxa W5–025 Oct
- L@ América W1–219 Oct
- Lv Toluca W1–25 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 12 Nov 2026Pachuca W0–1Monterrey W
- 11 May 2026Monterrey W4–1Pachuca W
- 8 May 2026Pachuca W2–0Monterrey W
- 28 Mar 2026Pachuca W0–1Monterrey W
Liga MX Femenil table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  América W | 14 | +50 | 37 |
| 2 |  Monterrey W | 14 | +34 | 37 |
| 3 |  Tigres UANL W | 14 | +35 | 35 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara W | 14 | +17 | 30 |
| 5 |  Juárez W | 14 | +9 | 30 |
| 6 |  Toluca W | 14 | +9 | 27 |
| 7 |  León W | 14 | +3 | 25 |
| 8 |  Santos Laguna W | 14 | -4 | 22 |
| 9 |  Pumas UNAM W | 14 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Pachuca W | 14 | +9 | 19 |
| 11 |  Atlético San Luis W | 14 | -4 | 19 |
| 12 |  Cruz Azul W | 14 | -9 | 18 |
| 13 |  Atlas W | 14 | -14 | 17 |
| 14 |  Tijuana W | 14 | -15 | 11 |
| 15 |  Querétaro W | 14 | -20 | 7 |
| 16 |  Atlante W | 14 | -20 | 7 |
| 17 |  Puebla W | 14 | -29 | 4 |
| 18 |  Necaxa W | 14 | -49 | 1 |
More Liga MX Femenil predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Monterrey W vs Pachuca W?
The Mind pick is Over 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 64, priced around 1.57 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Monterrey W or Pachuca W?
The model gives Monterrey W 57%, the draw 18% and Pachuca W 25%.
What is the likeliest score in Monterrey W vs Pachuca W?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Monterrey W 2–1 Pachuca W.
How many goals are expected in Monterrey W vs Pachuca W?
Around 3.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 64% and both teams to score 56%.
When does Monterrey W vs Pachuca W kick off?
Monday 16 November 2026, 02:00 WAT, at Cancha El Barrial – Liga MX Femenil.