Toluca W vs América W prediction: Over 2.5 goals
The goal projection sits at 4.2, clear of the 2.5 line. The line lands in 76% of the model's runs. Toluca W arrive off a defeat (LDLW); América W are unbeaten across their last 3 (WWW). Price check: 1.30 is close to fair.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The away side carries the numbers: América W 67%, Toluca W 18%. Table: Toluca W 6th (27 pts), América W 1st (37 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Toluca W read L D L W D W (two wins). Most recent: at América W, 0–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.5 a game.
The last six for América W read W W W W W L (five wins). Most recent: v Toluca W, 3–0 (won). The attack is running at 4.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Toluca W 0 wins, América W 3, draws 0; 4.3 goals per game. Latest (Nov 2026): América W 3–0 Toluca W. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Toluca W 1.3, América W 2.9 – 4.2 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 76%, both to score at 59%.
The pick
Pick: Over 2.5 goals – Mind Score 76, bookmaker price around 1.30 against a fair 1.32. Likeliest score: Toluca W 1–2 América W. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Toluca W
last 6- L@ América W0–312 Nov
- D@ Querétaro W1–16 Nov
- Lv Guadalajara W2–331 Oct
- W@ Cruz Azul W2–125 Oct
- Dv Santos Laguna W0–020 Oct
- W@ Pachuca W2–15 Oct
América W
last 6- Wv Toluca W3–012 Nov
- W@ Guadalajara W3–17 Nov
- Wv Atlante W6–01 Nov
- W@ Atlético San Luis W7–025 Oct
- Wv Pachuca W2–119 Oct
- L@ Monterrey W3–43 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 12 Nov 2026América W3–0Toluca W
- 8 May 2026Toluca W1–7América W
- 17 Mar 2026América W2–0Toluca W
Liga MX Femenil table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  América W | 14 | +50 | 37 |
| 2 |  Monterrey W | 14 | +34 | 37 |
| 3 |  Tigres UANL W | 14 | +35 | 35 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara W | 14 | +17 | 30 |
| 5 |  Juárez W | 14 | +9 | 30 |
| 6 |  Toluca W | 14 | +9 | 27 |
| 7 |  León W | 14 | +3 | 25 |
| 8 |  Santos Laguna W | 14 | -4 | 22 |
| 9 |  Pumas UNAM W | 14 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Pachuca W | 14 | +9 | 19 |
| 11 |  Atlético San Luis W | 14 | -4 | 19 |
| 12 |  Cruz Azul W | 14 | -9 | 18 |
| 13 |  Atlas W | 14 | -14 | 17 |
| 14 |  Tijuana W | 14 | -15 | 11 |
| 15 |  Querétaro W | 14 | -20 | 7 |
| 16 |  Atlante W | 14 | -20 | 7 |
| 17 |  Puebla W | 14 | -29 | 4 |
| 18 |  Necaxa W | 14 | -49 | 1 |
More Liga MX Femenil predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Toluca W vs América W?
The Mind pick is Over 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 76, priced around 1.30 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Toluca W or América W?
The model gives Toluca W 18%, the draw 16% and América W 67%.
What is the likeliest score in Toluca W vs América W?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Toluca W 1–2 América W.
How many goals are expected in Toluca W vs América W?
Around 4.2 in total – over 2.5 rates 76% and both teams to score 59%.
When does Toluca W vs América W kick off?
Monday 16 November 2026, 04:10 WAT – Liga MX Femenil.