421 matches analysed today 58 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 12:54 WATTelegram18+
La Liga Sun 1 Mar 2026 · Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero Full time
2–2
Half-time 1–1
39%Elche22%Draw38%Espanyol

Elche vs Espanyol prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Over 1.5 goals

An open game on paper: 2.7 projected goals. Mind Score 73. Elche arrive off a defeat (LLW); Espanyol's form is mixed (DWD, 1 W 2 D 0 L). Price check: 1.33 is close to fair.

73Mind Score Odds1.33 Score2–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Elche2.3439% X · Draw3.2022% 2 · Espanyol3.0538%

Double chance

1X1.3662% 121.2878% X21.5761%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3373% Under 1.53.3027%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.9549% Under 2.51.8351%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.4028% Under 3.51.3072%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.7358% NG · No2.0542%

Half-time result

HT 12.9529% HT X2.1043% HT 23.4028%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A near-even split in the model – home 39%, draw 22%, away 38%. Table: Elche 18th (10 pts), Espanyol 13th (12 pts).

Expected goals

Expected goals: Elche 1.3, Espanyol 1.3 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 49%, BTTS 58%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 73, bookmaker price around 1.33 against a fair 1.37. Likeliest score: Elche 2–1 Espanyol. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Elche

last 2
  • L@ Athletic Club1–220 Feb
  • Dv Osasuna0–013 Feb
0.5scored / game1.0conceded50%GG50%over 2.5

Espanyol

last –

No recent results in our data.

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

La Liga table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona121101+3533
2Real Madrid121002+2130
3Atletico Madrid12912+1328
4Real Betis12822+526
5Real Sociedad12714+122
6Sevilla12534-218
7Athletic Club11443+416
8Villarreal12435+215
9Deportivo La Coruna12363+115
10Racing Santander12426-1314
11Celta Vigo12273013
12Alaves12345-213
13Espanyol12336-112
14Rayo Vallecano11335-612
15Getafe12336-1012
16Osasuna12336-1112
17Levante12255-511
18Elche12246-610
19Valencia12237-129
20Malaga12057-145

More La Liga predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Elche vs Espanyol?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 73, priced around 1.33 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Elche or Espanyol?

The model gives Elche 39%, the draw 22% and Espanyol 38%.

What is the likeliest score in Elche vs Espanyol?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Elche 2–1 Espanyol.

How many goals are expected in Elche vs Espanyol?

Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 49% and both teams to score 58%.

When does Elche vs Espanyol kick off?

Sunday 1 March 2026, 14:00 WAT, at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero – La Liga.