Girona vs Celta Vigo prediction: Under 3.5 goals
2.6 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. Mind Score 73. Girona won most recently (WLLW); Celta Vigo won most recently (WDLLD). The 1.30 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Girona edge it at home, 43% to 35%, with the draw on 22%.
Recent form
Celta Vigo bring a W W W line into this one: three wins from three. Most recent: v PAOK, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 0.3 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Girona 1.4, Celta Vigo 1.2 – 2.6 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 48%, BTTS 57%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 73, bookmaker price around 1.30 against a fair 1.37. Likeliest score: Girona 1–0 Celta Vigo. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Girona
last 2- D@ Alaves2–223 Feb
- Wv Barcelona2–116 Feb
Celta Vigo
last 3- Wv PAOK1–026 Feb
- Wv Mallorca2–022 Feb
- W@ PAOK2–119 Feb
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
La Liga table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 12 | +35 | 33 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 12 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 12 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 12 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 12 | +1 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Racing Santander | 12 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 |  Alaves | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 12 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 11 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 12 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |  Levante | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 |  Elche | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 12 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | -14 | 5 |
More La Liga predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Girona vs Celta Vigo?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 73, priced around 1.30 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Girona or Celta Vigo?
The model gives Girona 43%, the draw 22% and Celta Vigo 35%.
What is the likeliest score in Girona vs Celta Vigo?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Girona 1–0 Celta Vigo.
How many goals are expected in Girona vs Celta Vigo?
Around 2.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 48% and both teams to score 57%.
When does Girona vs Celta Vigo kick off?
Sunday 1 March 2026, 21:00 WAT, at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi – La Liga.