Valencia vs Osasuna prediction: Under 3.5 goals
2.4 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. Mind Score 77. Valencia won most recently (WLW); Osasuna's form is mixed (DLWL, 1 W 1 D 2 L). The 1.22 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The ratings barely separate them: Valencia 40%, draw 23%, Osasuna 37%. Table: Valencia 19th (9 pts), Osasuna 16th (12 pts).
Expected goals
Expected goals: Valencia 1.2, Osasuna 1.2 – 2.4 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 43%, BTTS 51%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 77, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.29. Likeliest score: Valencia 1–0 Osasuna. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Valencia
last 2- L@ Villarreal1–222 Feb
- W@ Levante2–015 Feb
Osasuna
last 1- D@ Elche0–013 Feb
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
La Liga table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 12 | +35 | 33 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 12 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 12 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 12 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 12 | +1 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Racing Santander | 12 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 |  Alaves | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 12 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 11 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 12 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |  Levante | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 |  Elche | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 12 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | -14 | 5 |
More La Liga predictions
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Girona0Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Valencia vs Osasuna?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 77, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Valencia or Osasuna?
The model gives Valencia 40%, the draw 23% and Osasuna 37%.
What is the likeliest score in Valencia vs Osasuna?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Valencia 1–0 Osasuna.
How many goals are expected in Valencia vs Osasuna?
Around 2.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 43% and both teams to score 51%.
When does Valencia vs Osasuna kick off?
Sunday 1 March 2026, 16:15 WAT, at Estadio de Mestalla – La Liga.