Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards prediction: Both teams to score
Neither defence rates tight enough for a clean sheet – 0.9 and 1.2 expected goals. AFC Leopards's form is mixed (DDD, 0 W 3 D 0 L). Price check: 2.25 on offer against a fair 1.94 – a positive edge.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
AFC Leopards shade it on the road, 44% to 32%. Table: Ulinzi Stars 14th (6 pts), AFC Leopards 3rd (10 pts).
Recent form
Ulinzi Stars bring a D L L W W L line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at Shabana, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.2 a game.
AFC Leopards – sample of six: L W W W W W, with five wins. Most recent: v GOR Mahia, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 0.3 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Ulinzi Stars 0.9, AFC Leopards 1.2 – 2.1 in total. A low-event profile – under 2.5 rates 66%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Both teams to score – Mind Score 52, bookmaker price around 2.25 against a fair 1.94. Likeliest score: Ulinzi Stars 1–2 AFC Leopards. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Ulinzi Stars
last 6- D@ Shabana0–09 May
- Lv Tusker1–23 May
- Lv APS Bomet0–14 Apr
- Wv Sofapaka2–029 Mar
- W@ Nairobi United2–122 Mar
- Lv GOR Mahia1–315 Mar
AFC Leopards
last 6- Lv GOR Mahia0–126 Apr
- W@ Murang'a SEAL2–05 Apr
- Wv Kariobangi Sharks1–029 Mar
- Wv Tusker1–022 Mar
- Wv Nairobi United1–018 Mar
- Wv Shabana5–11 Mar
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
FKF Premier League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards?
The Mind pick is Both teams to score with a Mind Score of 52, priced around 2.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Ulinzi Stars or AFC Leopards?
The model gives Ulinzi Stars 32%, the draw 24% and AFC Leopards 44%.
What is the likeliest score in Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Ulinzi Stars 1–2 AFC Leopards.
How many goals are expected in Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards?
Around 2.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 34% and both teams to score 52%.
When does Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards kick off?
Wednesday 13 May 2026, 14:00 WAT, at Ulinzi Sports Complex – FKF Premier League.