APS Bomet vs KCB prediction: Under 3.5 goals
2.1 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. Probability 83%. APS Bomet arrive off a defeat (LWD). Mind Score 83.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A slight away lean – KCB 50%, APS Bomet 39%. Table: APS Bomet 13th (6 pts), KCB 2nd (13 pts).
Recent form
The last six for APS Bomet read W W W D D D (three wins). Most recent: v Sofapaka, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 0.2 a game. 5 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
KCB bring a W D W W D D line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at Nairobi United, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 0.5 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: APS Bomet 1.0, KCB 1.2 – 2.1 in total. Few chances projected: under 2.5 at 64%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 83. Likeliest score: APS Bomet 0–1 KCB. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
APS Bomet
last 6- Wv Sofapaka1–026 Apr
- W@ Posta Rangers FC3–019 Apr
- W@ Ulinzi Stars1–04 Apr
- Dv Nairobi United0–029 Mar
- D@ Mara Sugar0–021 Mar
- Dv Bidco United1–114 Mar
KCB
last 6- W@ Nairobi United1–03 May
- Dv Homeboyz1–126 Apr
- W@ Bidco United1–05 Apr
- Wv Mara Sugar1–028 Mar
- Dv Murang'a SEAL1–115 Mar
- D@ Nairobi United1–14 Mar
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
FKF Premier League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for APS Bomet vs KCB?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 83.
Who is favourite, APS Bomet or KCB?
The model gives APS Bomet 39%, the draw 11% and KCB 50%.
What is the likeliest score in APS Bomet vs KCB?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is APS Bomet 0–1 KCB.
How many goals are expected in APS Bomet vs KCB?
Around 2.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 36% and both teams to score 43%.
When does APS Bomet vs KCB kick off?
Wednesday 6 May 2026, 12:00 WAT – FKF Premier League.