Sofapaka vs KCB prediction: Under 3.5 goals
2.0 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. The line lands in 86% of the model's runs. Mind Score 86.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Sofapaka 49%, KCB 40%, draw 11%.
Recent form
The last six for Sofapaka read D L D L D L (zero wins). Most recent: v Shabana, 1–1 (drawn). Just 0.5 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.
KCB – sample of six: L D L W D W, with two wins. Most recent: v Posta Rangers FC, 0–1 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Sofapaka 1.1, KCB 0.9 – 2.0 in total. Few chances projected: under 2.5 at 68%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 86. Likeliest score: Sofapaka 1–0 KCB. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Sofapaka
last 6- Dv Shabana1–124 May
- L@ Posta Rangers FC0–311 May
- Dv Mathare United2–22 May
- L@ APS Bomet0–126 Apr
- Dv Bandari0–03 Apr
- L@ Ulinzi Stars0–229 Mar
KCB
last 6- Lv Posta Rangers FC0–123 May
- Dv Bandari2–210 May
- L@ APS Bomet0–16 May
- W@ Nairobi United1–03 May
- Dv Homeboyz1–126 Apr
- W@ Bidco United1–05 Apr
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
FKF Premier League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Sofapaka vs KCB?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 86.
Who is favourite, Sofapaka or KCB?
The model gives Sofapaka 49%, the draw 11% and KCB 40%.
What is the likeliest score in Sofapaka vs KCB?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Sofapaka 1–0 KCB.
How many goals are expected in Sofapaka vs KCB?
Around 2.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 32% and both teams to score 44%.
When does Sofapaka vs KCB kick off?
Wednesday 27 May 2026, 13:00 WAT – FKF Premier League.