Chicago Fire vs New York City FC prediction: Chicago Fire or draw
Only a Chicago Fire loss beats this pick, and the model puts that at 16%. Chicago Fire arrive off a defeat (LWDW); New York City FC won most recently (WDWD). Price check: 1.25 on offer against a fair 1.19 – a positive edge.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The model makes Chicago Fire strong home favourites (60%). Table: Chicago Fire 4th (55 pts), New York City FC 11th (42 pts).
Recent form
Chicago Fire – sample of six: W W L L D D, with two wins. Most recent: v Vancouver Whitecaps, 3–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.8 a game.
The last six for New York City FC read D L W L D D (one win). Most recent: at Atlanta United FC, 2–2 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.0 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Jul 2026): New York City FC 3–1 Chicago Fire. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Chicago Fire 2.1, New York City FC 1.0 – 3.1 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 59%, both to score at 63%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Chicago Fire or draw – Mind Score 84, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.19. Likeliest score: Chicago Fire 2–1 New York City FC. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Chicago Fire
last 6- Wv Vancouver Whitecaps3–17 Oct
- W@ Charlotte1–027 Sep
- L@ Nashville SC0–320 Sep
- Lv New England Revolution1–213 Sep
- Dv Inter Miami1–110 Sep
- D@ Toronto FC4–46 Sep
New York City FC
last 6- D@ Atlanta United FC2–227 Sep
- Lv New York Red Bulls0–119 Sep
- W@ Real Salt Lake2–013 Sep
- Lv New England Revolution1–210 Sep
- Dv Nashville SC0–05 Sep
- D@ Toronto FC1–130 Aug
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 26 Jul 2026New York City FC3–1Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 34 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 34 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 34 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 34 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 34 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 34 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |  Columbus Crew | 34 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |  Orlando City SC | 34 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 34 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 34 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |  New York City FC | 34 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 34 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |  Atlanta United FC | 34 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |  DC United | 34 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 34 | -32 | 26 |
More Major League Soccer predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Chicago Fire vs New York City FC?
The Mind pick is Chicago Fire or draw with a Mind Score of 84, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Chicago Fire or New York City FC?
The model gives Chicago Fire 60%, the draw 24% and New York City FC 16%.
What is the likeliest score in Chicago Fire vs New York City FC?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Chicago Fire 2–1 New York City FC.
How many goals are expected in Chicago Fire vs New York City FC?
Around 3.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 59% and both teams to score 63%.
When does Chicago Fire vs New York City FC kick off?
Saturday 10 October 2026, 19:30 WAT, at Soldier Field – Major League Soccer.