Toronto FC vs CF Montreal prediction: Over 1.5 goals
An open game on paper: 3.3 projected goals. Probability 84%. Toronto FC arrive off a defeat (LLW); CF Montreal arrive off a defeat (LDL). Mind Score 84.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Toronto FC are clear favourites at 64% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Toronto FC 12th (39 pts), CF Montreal 15th (26 pts).
Recent form
Toronto FC – sample of six: L L L W D D, with one win. Most recent: at Nashville SC, 0–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 2.3 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
CF Montreal bring a W L W L L L line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v FC Cincinnati, 3–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.5 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Head-to-head
Latest (Jul 2026): CF Montreal 0–0 Toronto FC. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Toronto FC 2.2, CF Montreal 1.1 – 3.3 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 64%, BTTS 61%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 84. Likeliest score: Toronto FC 2–1 CF Montreal. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Toronto FC
last 6- L@ Nashville SC0–227 Sep
- L@ St. Louis City1–320 Sep
- L@ Orlando City SC0–313 Sep
- Wv Nashville SC2–110 Sep
- Dv Chicago Fire4–46 Sep
- Dv New York City FC1–130 Aug
CF Montreal
last 6- Wv FC Cincinnati3–127 Sep
- Lv Columbus Crew0–220 Sep
- Wv Vancouver Whitecaps2–117 Sep
- L@ Colorado Rapids0–113 Sep
- Lv Charlotte1–210 Sep
- L@ Philadelphia Union0–26 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 17 Jul 2026CF Montreal0–0Toronto FC
Major League Soccer table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 34 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 34 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 34 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 34 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 34 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 34 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |  Columbus Crew | 34 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |  Orlando City SC | 34 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 34 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 34 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |  New York City FC | 34 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 34 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |  Atlanta United FC | 34 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |  DC United | 34 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 34 | -32 | 26 |
More Major League Soccer predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 84.
Who is favourite, Toronto FC or CF Montreal?
The model gives Toronto FC 64%, the draw 16% and CF Montreal 20%.
What is the likeliest score in Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Toronto FC 2–1 CF Montreal.
How many goals are expected in Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?
Around 3.3 in total – over 2.5 rates 64% and both teams to score 61%.
When does Toronto FC vs CF Montreal kick off?
Saturday 10 October 2026, 18:00 WAT, at BMO Field – Major League Soccer.