Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Union Santa Fe (1.2) plus Velez Sarsfield (1.3) puts 2.5 goals on the board. The line lands in 71% of the model's runs. Union Santa Fe's latest result was a win (WDW); Velez Sarsfield were beaten last time (LDW). Price check: 1.33 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A near-even split in the model – home 38%, draw 24%, away 39%. Table: Union Santa Fe 16th (42 pts), Velez Sarsfield 6th (56 pts).
Recent form
Union Santa Fe – sample of six: D W D L L L, with one win. Most recent: at Newells Old Boys, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.7 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Velez Sarsfield bring a D W W L D W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: v San Lorenzo, 2–2 (drawn). The attack is running at 2.2 per game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Apr 2026): Velez Sarsfield 2–2 Union Santa Fe. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Union Santa Fe 1.2, Velez Sarsfield 1.3 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 46%, BTTS 55%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 71, bookmaker price around 1.33 against a fair 1.40. Likeliest score: Union Santa Fe 1–2 Velez Sarsfield. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Union Santa Fe
last 6- D@ Newells Old Boys1–11 Nov
- Wv Estudiantes L.P.3–126 Oct
- D@ Deportivo Riestra1–120 Oct
- Lv Defensa Y Justicia0–210 Oct
- L@ Boca Juniors0–33 Oct
- Lv Independiente1–219 Sep
Velez Sarsfield
last 6- Dv San Lorenzo2–231 Oct
- W@ Central Cordoba de Santiago5–026 Oct
- Wv Gimnasia M.1–018 Oct
- L@ Lanus0–212 Oct
- Dv Platense2–25 Oct
- Wv Tigre3–221 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 27 Apr 2026Velez Sarsfield2–2Union Santa Fe
Liga Profesional Argentina table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | +12 | 31 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 |  Independiente | 16 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | -7 | 11 |
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Independ. Rivadavia1Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 71, priced around 1.33 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Union Santa Fe or Velez Sarsfield?
The model gives Union Santa Fe 38%, the draw 24% and Velez Sarsfield 39%.
What is the likeliest score in Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Union Santa Fe 1–2 Velez Sarsfield.
How many goals are expected in Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield?
Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 46% and both teams to score 55%.
When does Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield kick off?
Sunday 8 November 2026, 22:00 WAT, at Estadio 15 de Abril – Liga Profesional Argentina.