412 matches analysed today 9 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 10:56 WATTelegram18+
Brazil Serie B Sat 14 Nov 2026 · Moisés Lucarelli Full time
0–2
Half-time 0–0
21%Ponte Preta18%Draw60%Operario-PR

Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR prediction: Operario-PR to win

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Operario-PR to win

Operario-PR rate better at both ends – 1.8 expected for, 0.9 against. 3 without a win for Ponte Preta (LLL); Operario-PR won most recently (WWL). At 1.59 the market and the model roughly agree.

60Mind Score Odds1.59 Score0–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Ponte Preta4.9521% X · Draw3.9218% 2 · Operario-PR1.5960%

Double chance

1X2.1940% 121.2182% X21.1379%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2175% Under 1.53.5825%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.7752% Under 2.51.9748%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.7831% Under 3.51.3469%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.7757% NG · No1.9243%

Half-time result

HT 15.0018% HT X2.2740% HT 22.1242%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Operario-PR rate as strong favourites despite travelling – 60% in the model. Table: Ponte Preta 20th (15 pts), Operario-PR 10th (57 pts).

Recent form

The last six for Ponte Preta read L L D D L L (zero wins). Most recent: at Goias, 0–1 (lost). Just 0.7 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. Zero clean sheets across the sample.

Operario-PR bring a W L W L L L line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v Sport Recife, 3–2 (won). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.5 a game.

Head-to-head

Latest (Jul 2026): Operario-PR 3–2 Ponte Preta. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Ponte Preta 0.9, Operario-PR 1.8 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 52%, BTTS 57%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Operario-PR to win – Mind Score 60, bookmaker price around 1.59 against a fair 1.65. Likeliest score: Ponte Preta 0–1 Operario-PR. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Ponte Preta

last 6
  • L@ Goias0–18 Nov
  • L@ Criciuma0–230 Oct
  • Dv Fortaleza EC2–224 Oct
  • Dv Atletico Goianiense1–116 Oct
  • L@ Novorizontino1–512 Oct
  • Lv Juventude0–27 Oct
0.7scored / game2.2conceded50%GG33%over 2.5

Operario-PR

last 6
  • Wv Sport Recife3–26 Nov
  • L@ Novorizontino1–21 Nov
  • Wv Athletic Club1–023 Oct
  • L@ America Mineiro0–117 Oct
  • Lv Goias0–211 Oct
  • Lv Botafogo SP1–27 Oct
1.0scored / game1.5conceded50%GG50%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 22 Jul 2026Operario-PR3–2Ponte Preta

Serie B table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3821107+3573
2Juventude3820117+2571
3Vila Nova3819910+1466
4Fortaleza EC3817147+1265
5Criciuma3818812+662
6Atletico Goianiense3816139+1161
7CRB3817813+659
8Goias3817714-558
9Sport Recife38151310+1158
10Operario-PR3816913+157
11São Bernardo38141113+1053
12Botafogo SP3814915+451
13Athletic Club38111512048
14Cuiaba38111413+147
15Nautico Recife38121016-1046
16Ceara38111116-944
17Avai3812719-1043
18Londrina389821-1235
19America Mineiro388525-3029
20Ponte Preta383629-6015

More Serie B predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR?

The Mind pick is Operario-PR to win with a Mind Score of 60, priced around 1.59 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Ponte Preta or Operario-PR?

The model gives Ponte Preta 21%, the draw 18% and Operario-PR 60%.

What is the likeliest score in Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Ponte Preta 0–1 Operario-PR.

How many goals are expected in Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR?

Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 52% and both teams to score 57%.

When does Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR kick off?

Saturday 14 November 2026, 20:30 WAT, at Moisés Lucarelli – Serie B.