São Bernardo vs Athletic Club prediction: São Bernardo or draw
Covering two results: São Bernardo win or draw (81%). São Bernardo arrive off a defeat (LWW). Price check: 1.22 is close to fair.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: São Bernardo 58%, Athletic Club 19%, draw 23%. Table: São Bernardo 11th (53 pts), Athletic Club 13th (48 pts).
Recent form
São Bernardo – sample of six: L W W L D L, with two wins. Most recent: at Avai, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.7 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Athletic Club bring a L W L D D L line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: v Atletico Goianiense, 2–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.5 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Jul 2026): Athletic Club 2–1 São Bernardo. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: São Bernardo 1.7, Athletic Club 0.8 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 47%, BTTS 53%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was São Bernardo or draw – Mind Score 81, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.24. Likeliest score: São Bernardo 1–0 Athletic Club. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
São Bernardo
last 6- L@ Avai1–27 Nov
- W@ Cuiaba2–11 Nov
- Wv Vila Nova3–224 Oct
- Lv Criciuma0–118 Oct
- D@ Juventude2–211 Oct
- L@ Sport Recife1–26 Oct
Athletic Club
last 6- Lv Atletico Goianiense2–38 Nov
- Wv Ceara2–12 Nov
- L@ Operario-PR0–123 Oct
- D@ Avai0–018 Oct
- Dv Londrina2–213 Oct
- L@ Goias1–27 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 23 Jul 2026Athletic Club2–1São Bernardo
Serie B table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Operario-PR | 38 | +1 | 57 |
| 10 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 38 | +10 | 53 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Athletic Club | 38 | 0 | 48 |
| 14 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 38 | -10 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 38 | -12 | 35 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 38 | -60 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for São Bernardo vs Athletic Club?
The Mind pick is São Bernardo or draw with a Mind Score of 81, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, São Bernardo or Athletic Club?
The model gives São Bernardo 58%, the draw 23% and Athletic Club 19%.
What is the likeliest score in São Bernardo vs Athletic Club?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is São Bernardo 1–0 Athletic Club.
How many goals are expected in São Bernardo vs Athletic Club?
Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 47% and both teams to score 53%.
When does São Bernardo vs Athletic Club kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 20:30 WAT, at Estadio Primeiro de Maio – Serie B.