Sport Recife vs Goias prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Only 2.6 goals projected – a low-event game. The line lands in 70% of the model's runs. Sport Recife's latest result was a win (WLD); Goias's last 4 reads LWWW – 3 wins. The 1.35 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Goias shade it on the road, 47% to 33%. Table: Sport Recife 10th (55 pts), Goias 7th (58 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Sport Recife read L D W L D W (two wins). Most recent: at Operario-PR, 2–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.5 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Goias – sample of six: W W W D W W, with five wins. Most recent: v Ponte Preta, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 0.3 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Latest (Jul 2026): Goias 1–1 Sport Recife. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Sport Recife 1.2, Goias 1.5 – 2.6 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 52%, BTTS 61%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 70, bookmaker price around 1.35 against a fair 1.43. Likeliest score: Sport Recife 0–1 Goias. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Sport Recife
last 6- L@ Operario-PR2–36 Nov
- D@ Botafogo SP1–131 Oct
- Wv Criciuma2–124 Oct
- Lv Fortaleza EC0–217 Oct
- D@ Atletico Goianiense1–111 Oct
- Wv São Bernardo2–16 Oct
Goias
last 6- Wv Ponte Preta1–08 Nov
- Wv CRB2–13 Nov
- W@ Ceara2–028 Oct
- Dv Nautico Recife0–019 Oct
- W@ Operario-PR2–011 Oct
- Wv Athletic Club2–17 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 23 Jul 2026Goias1–1Sport Recife
Serie B table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Operario-PR | 38 | +1 | 57 |
| 10 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 38 | +10 | 53 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Athletic Club | 38 | 0 | 48 |
| 14 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 38 | -10 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 38 | -12 | 35 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 38 | -60 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Sport Recife vs Goias?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 70, priced around 1.35 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Sport Recife or Goias?
The model gives Sport Recife 33%, the draw 20% and Goias 47%.
What is the likeliest score in Sport Recife vs Goias?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Sport Recife 0–1 Goias.
How many goals are expected in Sport Recife vs Goias?
Around 2.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 52% and both teams to score 61%.
When does Sport Recife vs Goias kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 20:30 WAT, at Ilha do Retiro – Serie B.