Europe UEFA Nations League Sun 15 Nov 2026 · Illovszky Rudolf Stadion Upcoming

Belarus vs Albania prediction: Albania or draw

The Mind pick Albania or draw

Albania avoid defeat in 79% of the model's runs. Price check: 1.23 is close to fair.

79Mind Score Odds1.23 Score0–1

Your call: who wins?

Fans' vote

Vote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Belarus4.5021% X · Draw3.4428% 2 · Albania1.9351%

Double chance

1X1.9349% 121.3472% X21.2379%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.4264% Under 1.52.7736%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.3538% Under 2.51.6562%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.54.2519% Under 3.51.2181%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes2.0350% NG · No1.7250%

Half-time result

HT 15.1021% HT X2.0148% HT 22.5431%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Albania shade it on the road, 51% to 21%. Table: Belarus 2nd (10 pts), Albania 1st (12 pts).

Recent form

The last six for Belarus read W W W D L D (three wins). Most recent: at San Marino, 2–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 0.7 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

The last six for Albania read W W L W W L (four wins). Most recent: v Finland, 2–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 0.7 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Head-to-head

Latest (Sep 2026): Albania 2–0 Belarus. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Belarus 0.9, Albania 1.2 – 2.1 in total. A low-event profile – under 2.5 rates 62%.

The pick

Pick: Albania or draw – Mind Score 79, bookmaker price around 1.23 against a fair 1.26. Likeliest score: Belarus 0–1 Albania. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.