Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Equatorial Guinea (1.2) plus Zimbabwe (1.2) puts 2.4 goals on the board. Probability 66%. The 1.43 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A near-even split in the model – home 38%, draw 23%, away 38%. Table: Equatorial Guinea 2nd (8 pts), Zimbabwe 2nd (9 pts).
Recent form
Equatorial Guinea bring a W L L D line into this one: one win from four. Most recent: v Sierra Leone, 1–0 (won). Just 0.5 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.
The last four for Zimbabwe read L W L W (two wins). Most recent: v Congo DR, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.5 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Equatorial Guinea 1.2, Zimbabwe 1.2 – 2.4 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 41%, BTTS 52%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 66, bookmaker price around 1.43 against a fair 1.50. Likeliest score: Equatorial Guinea 2–1 Zimbabwe. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Equatorial Guinea
last 4- Wv Sierra Leone1–028 Sep
- L@ Congo DR0–224 Sep
- Lv Comoros0–18 Jun
- Dv Madagascar1–131 Mar
Zimbabwe
last 4- Lv Congo DR1–228 Sep
- W@ Sierra Leone3–224 Sep
- L@ Nigeria0–226 May
- Wv Zambia U231–031 Mar
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Algeria | 6 | +14 | 16 |
| 2 |  Equatorial Guinea | 6 | -3 | 8 |
| 3 |  Togo | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 4 |  Liberia | 6 | -8 | 4 |
More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions
League page →
Ghana2
Somalia0
Congo DR3
Sierra Leone1
Guinea2
Eritrea1
Madagascar1
Guinea-Bissau1
Benin4
Central African Republic1
Cameroon2
Namibia0
Ivory Coast2
Gambia1
Senegal4
Sudan1Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 66, priced around 1.43 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Equatorial Guinea or Zimbabwe?
The model gives Equatorial Guinea 38%, the draw 23% and Zimbabwe 38%.
What is the likeliest score in Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Equatorial Guinea 2–1 Zimbabwe.
How many goals are expected in Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe?
Around 2.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 41% and both teams to score 52%.
When does Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe kick off?
Thursday 12 November 2026, 17:00 WAT, at Nuevo Estadio de Malabo – Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification.