Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau prediction: Over 1.5 goals
An open game on paper: 2.4 projected goals. Probability 66%. Price check: 1.42 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Guinea-Bissau shade it on the road, 53% to 25%. Table: Madagascar 4th (2 pts), Guinea-Bissau 3rd (5 pts).
Recent form
Madagascar bring a D L L D line into this one: zero wins from four. Most recent: v Tanzania, 1–1 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.
The last three for Guinea-Bissau read W W D (two wins). Most recent: v Nigeria, 3–0 (won). Output is high: 2.0 goals a game across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Madagascar 0.9, Guinea-Bissau 1.5 – 2.4 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 40%, BTTS 53%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 66, bookmaker price around 1.42 against a fair 1.52. Likeliest score: Madagascar 0–2 Guinea-Bissau. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Madagascar
last 4- Dv Tanzania1–129 Sep
- L@ Nigeria1–225 Sep
- L@ Morocco0–42 Jun
- D@ Equatorial Guinea1–131 Mar
Guinea-Bissau
last 3- Wv Nigeria3–029 Sep
- W@ Tanzania2–025 Sep
- D@ Burkina Faso1–131 Mar
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Comoros | 6 | +3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Tunisia | 6 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Gambia | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 |  Madagascar | 6 | -4 | 2 |
More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions
League page →
Ghana2
Somalia0
Congo DR3
Sierra Leone1
Equatorial Guinea0
Zimbabwe0
Guinea2
Eritrea1
Benin4
Central African Republic1
Cameroon2
Namibia0
Ivory Coast2
Senegal4
Sudan1Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 66, priced around 1.42 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Madagascar or Guinea-Bissau?
The model gives Madagascar 25%, the draw 23% and Guinea-Bissau 53%.
What is the likeliest score in Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Madagascar 0–2 Guinea-Bissau.
How many goals are expected in Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau?
Around 2.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 40% and both teams to score 53%.
When does Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau kick off?
Thursday 12 November 2026, 17:00 WAT, at George V Stadium – Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification.