Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Zimbabwe (1.3) plus Equatorial Guinea (1.1) puts 2.4 goals on the board. Probability 66%. At 1.50 the market and the model roughly agree.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Zimbabwe edge it at home, 46% to 36%, with the draw on 18%. Table: Zimbabwe 2nd (9 pts), Equatorial Guinea 2nd (8 pts).
Recent form
The last five for Zimbabwe read D L W L W (two wins). Most recent: at Equatorial Guinea, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.2 a game.
The last five for Equatorial Guinea read D W L L D (one win). Most recent: v Zimbabwe, 0–0 (drawn). Just 0.4 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.
Head-to-head
Latest (Nov 2026): Equatorial Guinea 0–0 Zimbabwe. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Zimbabwe 1.3, Equatorial Guinea 1.1 – 2.4 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 40%, BTTS 45%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 66, bookmaker price around 1.50 against a fair 1.52. Likeliest score: Zimbabwe 2–1 Equatorial Guinea. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Zimbabwe
last 5- D@ Equatorial Guinea0–012 Nov
- Lv Congo DR1–228 Sep
- W@ Sierra Leone3–224 Sep
- L@ Nigeria0–226 May
- Wv Zambia U231–031 Mar
Equatorial Guinea
last 5- Dv Zimbabwe0–012 Nov
- Wv Sierra Leone1–028 Sep
- L@ Congo DR0–224 Sep
- Lv Comoros0–18 Jun
- Dv Madagascar1–131 Mar
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 12 Nov 2026Equatorial Guinea0–0Zimbabwe
Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Algeria | 6 | +14 | 16 |
| 2 |  Equatorial Guinea | 6 | -3 | 8 |
| 3 |  Togo | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 4 |  Liberia | 6 | -8 | 4 |
More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions
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GuineaFrequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 66, priced around 1.50 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Zimbabwe or Equatorial Guinea?
The model gives Zimbabwe 46%, the draw 18% and Equatorial Guinea 36%.
What is the likeliest score in Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Zimbabwe 2–1 Equatorial Guinea.
How many goals are expected in Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?
Around 2.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 40% and both teams to score 45%.
When does Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea kick off?
Monday 16 November 2026, 14:00 WAT, at National Sports Stadium – Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification.