Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification Mon 16 Nov 2026 · Al Salam Stadium Upcoming

Eritrea vs Guinea prediction: Guinea to win

The Mind pick Guinea to win

Projected goals favour Guinea: 2.1 against 0.6. Price check: 1.40 is close to fair.

71Mind Score Odds1.40 Score0–2

Your call: who wins?

Fans' vote

Vote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Eritrea7.308% X · Draw4.2521% 2 · Guinea1.4071%

Double chance

1X2.7029% 121.1879% X21.0692%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2573% Under 1.53.2827%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.9149% Under 2.51.8251%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.2827% Under 3.51.2573%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes2.1149% NG · No1.6351%

Half-time result

HT 16.9010% HT X2.2339% HT 21.9351%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The away side carries the numbers: Guinea 71%, Eritrea 8%.

Recent form

Eritrea – sample of five: L L D W W, with two wins. Most recent: at Guinea, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.8 a game.

The last six for Guinea read W W L L L D (two wins). Most recent: v Eritrea, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.2 a game.

Head-to-head

Latest (Nov 2026): Guinea 2–1 Eritrea. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Eritrea 0.6, Guinea 2.1 – 2.6 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 49%, BTTS 49%.

The pick

Where the model lands: Guinea to win – Mind Score 71, bookmaker price around 1.40 against a fair 1.40. Likeliest score: Eritrea 0–2 Guinea. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.