Bradford vs Barnsley prediction: Bradford to win
The model lands a Bradford win in 67% of simulations. Bradford have taken 3 wins from 4 (WWLW); Barnsley arrive off a defeat (LWWD). At 1.44 the market and the model roughly agree.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Bradford are clear favourites at 67% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Bradford 7th (22 pts), Barnsley 23rd (9 pts).
Recent form
Bradford – sample of six: W W W W W L, with five wins. Most recent: v Newcastle United U21, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 0.7 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
The last six for Barnsley read L D D L L W (one win). Most recent: v Leeds United U21, 3–4 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 2.8 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Bradford 1.9, Barnsley 0.7 – 2.6 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 51%, BTTS 49%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Bradford to win – Mind Score 67, bookmaker price around 1.44 against a fair 1.49. Likeliest score: Bradford 1–0 Barnsley. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Bradford
last 6- Wv Newcastle United U212–122 Sep
- W@ Luton1–019 Sep
- W@ Notts County1–012 Sep
- W@ Leyton Orient3–18 Sep
- Wv Mansfield Town1–05 Sep
- Lv Cambridge United1–21 Sep
Barnsley
last 6- Lv Leeds United U213–422 Sep
- Dv Leicester1–119 Sep
- D@ Peterborough3–315 Sep
- L@ Plymouth0–312 Sep
- Lv Stevenage1–55 Sep
- Wv Blackpool2–12 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
League One table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | -20 | 9 |
More League One predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Bradford vs Barnsley?
The Mind pick is Bradford to win with a Mind Score of 67, priced around 1.44 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Bradford or Barnsley?
The model gives Bradford 67%, the draw 21% and Barnsley 12%.
What is the likeliest score in Bradford vs Barnsley?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Bradford 1–0 Barnsley.
How many goals are expected in Bradford vs Barnsley?
Around 2.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 51% and both teams to score 49%.
When does Bradford vs Barnsley kick off?
Saturday 26 September 2026, 15:00 WAT, at Valley Parade – League One.