Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon prediction: Cambridge United or draw
Cambridge United avoid defeat in 85% of the model's runs. Cambridge United arrive off a defeat (LWLD); AFC Wimbledon won most recently (WLLL). At 1.22 the market and the model roughly agree.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The model makes Cambridge United strong home favourites (65%). Table: Cambridge United 8th (21 pts), AFC Wimbledon 18th (13 pts).
Recent form
Cambridge United bring a W D W D W L line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at Gillingham, 4–1 (won). Output is high: 2.0 goals a game across the sample. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
AFC Wimbledon bring a D W W L W L line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: v Milton Keynes Dons, 0–0 (drawn). Just 0.8 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Cambridge United 1.8, AFC Wimbledon 0.7 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 47%, BTTS 53%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Cambridge United or draw – Mind Score 85, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.18. Likeliest score: Cambridge United 1–0 AFC Wimbledon. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Cambridge United
last 6- W@ Gillingham4–122 Sep
- D@ Oxford United1–119 Sep
- Wv Reading2–112 Sep
- D@ Burton Albion2–25 Sep
- W@ Bradford2–11 Sep
- Lv Huddersfield1–229 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
last 6- Dv Milton Keynes Dons0–017 Sep
- Wv Doncaster1–012 Sep
- W@ Bromley2–07 Sep
- L@ Burton Albion1–42 Sep
- Wv Wigan1–030 Aug
- L@ Fulham0–327 Aug
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
League One table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | -20 | 9 |
More League One predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon?
The Mind pick is Cambridge United or draw with a Mind Score of 85, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Cambridge United or AFC Wimbledon?
The model gives Cambridge United 65%, the draw 20% and AFC Wimbledon 15%.
What is the likeliest score in Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Cambridge United 1–0 AFC Wimbledon.
How many goals are expected in Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon?
Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 47% and both teams to score 53%.
When does Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon kick off?
Saturday 26 September 2026, 15:00 WAT, at Abbey Stadium – League One.