Doncaster vs Burton Albion prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Doncaster (1.9) plus Burton Albion (1.0) puts 2.9 goals on the board. The line lands in 78% of the model's runs. Doncaster arrive off a defeat (LWLL); Burton Albion arrive off a defeat (LLWL). Mind Score 78.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Doncaster are clear favourites at 61% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Doncaster 20th (12 pts), Burton Albion 15th (17 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Doncaster read W W L L L D (two wins). Most recent: v Liverpool U21, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.3 a game.
Burton Albion bring a D L W D D L line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Grimsby, 0–0 (drawn). Just 0.8 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Doncaster 1.9, Burton Albion 1.0 – 2.9 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 55%, BTTS 56%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 78. Likeliest score: Doncaster 2–0 Burton Albion. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Doncaster
last 6- Wv Liverpool U211–06 Oct
- W@ Peterborough2–019 Sep
- L@ AFC Wimbledon0–112 Sep
- Lv Huddersfield1–38 Sep
- Lv Plymouth2–35 Sep
- Dv Notts County1–11 Sep
Burton Albion
last 6- D@ Grimsby0–06 Oct
- Lv Huddersfield1–33 Oct
- W@ Plymouth1–026 Sep
- Dv Nottingham Forest U211–122 Sep
- Dv Mansfield Town2–219 Sep
- L@ Oxford United0–312 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
League One table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | -20 | 9 |
More League One predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Doncaster vs Burton Albion?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 78.
Who is favourite, Doncaster or Burton Albion?
The model gives Doncaster 61%, the draw 20% and Burton Albion 19%.
What is the likeliest score in Doncaster vs Burton Albion?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Doncaster 2–0 Burton Albion.
How many goals are expected in Doncaster vs Burton Albion?
Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 55% and both teams to score 56%.
When does Doncaster vs Burton Albion kick off?
Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00 WAT, at Keepmoat Stadium – League One.